Lombardi: Expert Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis Since 1986
Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis

Welcome to Profit Confidential • Thursday, May 17, 2012

Going Nowhere Fast

Tuesday, July 13th, 2004
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential

In the same way that I follow home building stocks to gauge the housing market, I look to the stocks and actions of the biggest brokerage houses to get a feel for the investing climate. The stock brokerage business is extremely sensitive to upcoming trends in the general stock market.

Here’s some news I’m following now:

– Merrill Lynch will likely report today its slowest quarterly profit growth of the past 12-month period.

– U.S. stock trading is declining as investors lose interest in stocks. The NYSE averaged only 1.3 billion traded shares a day this past June, the slowest pace since December. The NASDAQ traded an average of only 1.5 billion shares a day in June, its lowest trading volume in 10 months.

– The Amex Broker/Dealer stock index clearly shows brokerage house stocks having topped out in March of this year. Merrill Lynch stock is down about 10% in the past three months alone.

– Goldman Sachs Group, to the surprise of many, told investors to cut their exposure to global equities. In its report, Goldman Sachs said a “sharp deceleration in profit” will keep global equities in a tight short-term trading range.

What does all this mean? It means business at the brokerage houses is not that great because trading volume is down. Yes, the brokerages are making money on internal trading and investment banking fees, but old-fashioned commission trading revenue is down.

There’s no big rush for investors to buy stocks… and there’s no big rush by investors to sell stock. Basically, we are going nowhere fast. I’m still very convinced that we remain in the grips of a bear market that started in 2000. If you are taking the “sit and wait” attitude with your big-cap mutual funds, you may want to question such a strategy.

The real money in stocks is made getting in and out at the right time. And if I had to guess, we’ll see selling pressure rise before we see buying pressure for stocks rise; ammunition to my theory that simply holding stocks through a long-term bear market does not work, whereas in-and-out, buy low/sell high stock trading does maximize profits.

Next Post:
Previous Post:

Tags: ,


Sign Up for PROFIT CONFIDENTIAL and
receive a FREE copy of our exclusive report:
"A GOLDEN OPPORTUNITY FOR STOCK MARKET INVESTORS"

Enter e-mail:

We respect your privacy and
will never share your e-mail address.


 

Michael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on Twitter








No Comments »

No comments yet.

RSS feed for comments on this post.

Leave a comment

*

Daily Profits


Enter your e-mail address to subscribe to
Profit Confidential — IT'S FREE!
Enter e-mail:
ALSO RECEIVE A FREE COPY of our exclusive report:
"A Golden Opportunity for Stock Market Investors"

McAfee SECURE sites help keep you safe from identity theft, credit card fraud, spyware, spam, viruses and online scams

 

Corporate
About Us
Privacy
Disclaimer
Contact Us
White List
Sitemap

Profit Confidential
Predictions
Gurus
Archives
FREE Sign-Up
RSS
Twitter
Facebook

Editors
Michael Lombardi
George Leong
Mitchell Clark
Tony Jasansky
Robert Appel
Wendy Potter
Sasha Cekerevac

Topics
Gold Stocks
Stock Market
Bear Market
Bull Market
US Dollar
Euro
Interest Rates

Expertise
U.S.Deficit
Real Estate Market
Debt Crisis
Chinese Economy
Economic Analysis

Guidance
Investment Guidance
Retirement Plan
Chinese Stocks
The Best Stocks
Gold Stock Picking
Real Estate Investment

Resources
Gold
Precious Metals
Real Estate News
Gold Investments
Investing in Real Estate