Opinions
Monday, March 15th, 2004
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
If you’ve been reading my PROFIT CONFIDENTIAL for some time now, you are obviously familiar with my bearish attitude towards the stock market.
My bottom line is that I believe we are in a bear market, which started in 2000. In my opinion, the recent stock rally we have experienced, from the market lows of October 2002, is a rally within the confines of a bear market. I’m bullish on gold because I believe our debt level, as a nation, could become so overwhelming that the American dollar could take a big hit… maybe even have its value questioned. But again, this is my humble opinion.
George Leong, one of our star analysts, believes the NASDAQ could hit 3,000. And this is George’s opinion. A technical guru, George believes that it is very possible for the NASDAQ to regain 60% of its high. If we take the NASDAQ record high of 5,000 and George’s theory, 60% of that high would indeed be 3,000.
But I have a different opinion than George does. I just don’t see the value in many overpriced NASDAQ tech stocks. In fact, I’m going to do some research today to find out exactly how many stocks in the NASDAQ 100 actually make money.
Mitchell Clark, another star analyst at Lombardi Financial, believes the amount of money North Americans stand to inherit over the next 10 to 20 years is mind boggling. Where will that money go? Into the stock market, Mitch believes, keeping stock prices high. Again, this is Mitch’s opinion.
Robert Appel, a lawyer turned stock picker who now practices his craft at Lombardi Financial, says we should all just shut-up, stop wasting our time on market direction discussions, and buy stocks on technical breakouts.
George, Mitch, and Robert all have valid methods of investing and arguments for and against market rallies. And I can’t complain, because they have truly delivered some whopping stock profits to Lombardi Financial customers.
But therein lies the beauty of our organization: Different experts delivering different opinions… so our customers have all the views and analyses in front of them.
If there is only one thing that George, Mitch, Robert and I have in common, it is that we believe the big cap stocks are just too expensive… they’ve become too rich for our taste. And that’s why we focus on small-cap stocks.
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Tags: bear market, small-cap stocks, stock market, stock prices
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Michael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on TwitterTweet
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