Lombardi: Expert Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis Since 1986
Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis

Welcome to Profit Confidential • Thursday, May 17, 2012

Reading Between The Numbers

Monday, April 5th, 2004
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential

No one was happier than me on Friday to hear the news of 308,000 new jobs created in the U.S. in March. Just the day before, my PROFIT CONFIDENTIAL commentary noted that the lowering of the U.S. dollar value against world currencies would have two possible effects, depending how fast the dollar dropped.

A gradual decline of the dollar, I noted, would cause Americans to start buying American again, pushing up our domestic employment. However, a rapid fall in our dollar’s value would cause a confidence crisis among foreign U.S. bond buyers, resulting in a U.S. debt crisis.

Friday’s employment numbers (and the recent economic performance of such countries as Canada who suffer with a weak U.S. dollar), gives credence to the Fed that its slow dollar devaluation model is working. Hopefully, the Fed will stay the course.

But if you are wondering why stocks did not deliver a rally on the big employment numbers no one expected, it was because the market read between the lines of the employment figures.

— Hiring in the manufacturing sector remained unchanged in March after almost three years of reporting job losses. So no new jobs here, but the bleeding has stopped.

— 71,000 new jobs were created in the construction industry, 47,000 new jobs in the retail sector. The big question: Are we replacing white collar jobs with blue collar jobs? More specifically, are the thousands of American young adults who finish university with degrees going to see their potential jobs go to India while we replace those jobs with clerks working at Wal-Mart?

— Since employment started to decline in the U.S. in March of 2001, we are still down 1.96 million workers.

— Even though 308,000 jobs were created in March, the official unemployment rate went up to 5.7% from 5.6%.

— After the better-than-expected job numbers were announced, some analysts started to suggest the Fed might raise interest rates one-quarter point before the November election to cool the growth. Economists say that when the U.S. economy is “firing on all cylinders,” it should create 250,000 jobs a month, a number we easily surpassed in March. The bond market surely reacted as though rates were going to rise.

So maybe after some further investigation, and reading between the numbers, the good-news employment figures left a lot open to interpretation. The market is saying “we want to see more.” And we couldn’t agree more.

Next Post:
Previous Post:

Tags: , ,


Sign Up for PROFIT CONFIDENTIAL and
receive a FREE copy of our exclusive report:
"A GOLDEN OPPORTUNITY FOR STOCK MARKET INVESTORS"

Enter e-mail:

We respect your privacy and
will never share your e-mail address.


 

Michael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on Twitter








No Comments »

No comments yet.

RSS feed for comments on this post.

Leave a comment

*

Daily Profits


Enter your e-mail address to subscribe to
Profit Confidential — IT'S FREE!
Enter e-mail:
ALSO RECEIVE A FREE COPY of our exclusive report:
"A Golden Opportunity for Stock Market Investors"

McAfee SECURE sites help keep you safe from identity theft, credit card fraud, spyware, spam, viruses and online scams

 

Corporate
About Us
Privacy
Disclaimer
Contact Us
White List
Sitemap

Profit Confidential
Predictions
Gurus
Archives
FREE Sign-Up
RSS
Twitter
Facebook

Editors
Michael Lombardi
George Leong
Mitchell Clark
Tony Jasansky
Robert Appel
Wendy Potter
Sasha Cekerevac

Topics
Gold Stocks
Stock Market
Bear Market
Bull Market
US Dollar
Euro
Interest Rates

Expertise
U.S.Deficit
Real Estate Market
Debt Crisis
Chinese Economy
Economic Analysis

Guidance
Investment Guidance
Retirement Plan
Chinese Stocks
The Best Stocks
Gold Stock Picking
Real Estate Investment

Resources
Gold
Precious Metals
Real Estate News
Gold Investments
Investing in Real Estate