Seven Warning Signs the Stock Market is in Trouble
Wednesday, December 6th, 2006
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
Major public companies are lowering their 2007 earnings forecasts, but stock price valuations remain high.
Oil prices have stopped falling and have stabilized. Hence, companies can no longer count on lower oil or gas prices to help earnings.
The U.S. dollar is in a free fall as reflected in the rising value of the euro. Gold has been rising for a reason. If the U.S. dollar starts to spiral downwards in value against other world currencies, the Fed may decide to keep rates at their current level or even raise them.
The U.S. housing market looks more like a crash than a hard landing. Toll Brothers says it doesn’t see any turnaround ahead… with orders for its new homes down 58% in the third quarter. (My e-mail is full of “just reduced for quick sale” messages from realtors.)
Government and public debt is near record highs. Consumers are spending less, as evidenced by recent reports from retail giant Wal-Mart.
The Fed is still concerned with inflation and it seems clueless to the threat of deflation developing. Interest in the U.S. rose too quickly for consumers to digest.
Most economic reports now point to a slowing U.S. economy, something we haven’t seen in years.
Based on the seven warnings I’ve listed above, it’s my belief the stock market is in trouble… the bear market is just doing its thing hoping investors continue coming into stocks and ridiculously high valuations at a time the big U.S. economy is slowing.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 100 and the S&P 500 could all be in mini-crash mode. If it were not for the huge amount of liquidity in the system, stock prices would be much lower today than they presently are.
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Tags: euro, gold, U.S. economy, Wal Mart
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Michael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on TwitterTweet
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