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Welcome to Profit Confidential • Thursday, May 17, 2012

The Continued Case for Gold

Thursday, July 8th, 2004
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential

As I write this issue of PROFIT CONFIDENTIAL, I note the price of gold rose about $10 today, to $403 U.S. per ounce. My readers are all too familiar with my personal fondness of gold bullion and gold stocks. The recent run-up in the metal’s price adds to the continued case for investing in gold.

Among other factors:

— Technically, gold is in a bull market, with bullion prices up 60% from their 2001 low of $250 U.S. per ounce. Investors in gold have averaged a rough return of 20% per year on gold investments over the past three years.

— Today, the cost of 24 ounces of gold is equal to the index level of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. In 1896, only one ounce of gold was equal to the DJIA. In 1932, two ounces of gold were equal to the DJIA. And as recently as 1980, one ounce of gold was equal to the DJIA. Looking at a price chart of gold bullion from 1900 to today, each time it takes more than 20 ounces of gold to equal the DJIA; the ratio relationship always returns to at least two to one, being two ounces of gold to equal the DJIA.

— After bringing interest rates down to their lowest level in 46 years, many economists believe the Fed was too slow to raise rates from their 46-year low. The Federal Funds Rate (the rate at which the Fed lends money to banks) has been below the annual inflation rate for 20 straight months. This is the longest stretch of negative real interest rates since 1974-1976-a period the Fed is now widely acknowledged to have kept too lax of a monetary policy, ultimately leading to the double digit inflation rate of that period.

— The record debt levels of consumers and government today could eventually affect the long-term stability of the U.S. dollar against other world currencies. Under such an economic environment, gold bullion shines.

The above are but just some of the factors working in gold’s favor today. Yes, gold bullion price can be volatile. But from this economist’s point of view, gold should not be traded for profits, but rather held as a hedge against traditional paper investments.

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Michael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on Twitter








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