Trying Their Best with What They Know
Tuesday, October 12th, 2004
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
Who says the government doesn’t watch the stock market?
Some analysts found it surprising in last Friday’s Presidential Debate when President Bush commented on the stock market. The President said that six months before he took office, the stock market started its worst decline in 70 years.
Could this be why U.S. interest rates fell to a 46-year low… to stop the stock market from collapsing… to stop an outright panic by investors and consumers caught in the stock market? Likely.
But you can only put off a bear market for so long, even with government intervention. All that the government has done is put off the inevitable: The bear market in big-cap stocks. And this explains why, despite a 46-year-low interest rate, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was never able to break its January 2000 high of 11,722.
Aside from collapsing interest rates, the government tried its best to make easy money. It even created its own new and huge debt to get jobs and the economy going and cut taxes to spur business. But guess what? The easy money only created another bubble, the real estate bubble, which Greenspan is now trying to cool by moving interest rates higher!
As for debt, the average household’s share of the government debt is about $470,000. That doesn’t include household mortgage and personal debt! And as for the tax cuts, they are not spurring business to spend. From what I can tell, businesses are not borrowing like they used to. In fact, companies are cutting down on borrowing and cleaning up their old debt. Maybe business senses slower consumer spending ahead.
This coming January 14, 2005 is the fifth anniversary of the high hit by the Dow Jones Industrial average back in 2000 of 11,722. In retrospect, would it have not been better to have the stock market (or should I say nature) run its course, so the bear market would have been over with by now, instead of just getting going?
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Tags: bear market, interest rates, stock market
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Michael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on TwitterTweet
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