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Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis

Welcome to Profit Confidential • Monday, May 21, 2012

What Would Old Henry Say?

Thursday, December 7th, 2006
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential

For the first time in its 103 year history, the Ford Motor Co. is mortgaging its assets to raise $18 billion. The official word from the company:

The money is needed “to address near and medium term negative operating cash flow, to fund restructuring, and to provide added liquidity to protect against a recession or other unanticipated events.”

Ford is mortgaging its plants, office buildings, equipment, even its investment in other car makers such as Volvo. Investors should take note of what’s happening at Ford for several reasons.

After years of good credit where Ford was able to borrow without pledging collateral, Ford cannot access additional cash unless it puts up hard assets as security to lure lenders. It’s almost like consumers who have tapped their unsecured personal lines of credit and their credit cards and now need to offer additional mortgages on their homes to keep the cash flow cycle working.

Ford is financially bleeding. The company lost $7 billion in the first nine months of this year. Just like the American consumer who has expanded too much when times were good by purchasing assets (in the case of consumers, a second or third home or maybe just a bigger one), Ford needs to raise cash to help pay its bills.

Some analysts have come out and said Ford is refinancing because it sees tough times ahead. For the first time, I need to agree with the analysts.

By the time this deal is done, Ford will have nearly $40 billion in cash to cushion itself from the hard times it obviously sees ahead. Unfortunately, for consumers, it won’t be that easy for them to raise cash during a recession because most do not have the assets to mortgage off. And, with the savings rate in America at its lowest level since the Great Depression, consumers don’t have a war chest like Ford.

Ford is being smart by raising the cash it can in anticipation of an economic slowdown ahead. Unfortunately, American consumers don’t have the luxury of raising money so easily to cushion their future cash flow problems.

NEWSFLASH–Manufacturing in the U.S. dropped last month for the first time in three years. The ISM factory index dropped to 49.5 in November from 51.2 in October. The manufacturing industry is said to be contracting when the ISM factory index posts a reading below 50. More evidence the U.S. economy is slowing.

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Profit Confidential AuthorMichael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on Twitter

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