Bull Market

Lombardi Publishing Corporation was established in 1986 as an investment newsletter providing stock market analysis to its readers. Today, we publish 26 paid-for investment letters, most of which provide stock market direction and individual stock picking analysis.

Profit Confidential is our free daily e-letter that goes to all our Lombardi Financial customers and to any investor who wishes to opt-in to receive it. Written by Lombardi Financial editors who have been offering stock market guidance to Lombardi customers for years, Profit Confidential provides a macro-picture on where the stock market is headed.

We start by determining if we are in a bear market or a bull market; based on that analysis, we look at what sectors are hot and what sectors to avoid.

Profit Confidential famously warned its readers to bail from stocks in 2007 (the bull market was over, and a bear market was setting in), telling investors to jump back into the stock market in March of 2009 (a bear market rally began).

Michael Lombardi was one of the first to predict the U.S. economy would be in a recession by late 2007. On March 22, 2007, he warned, “Over the past few weeks, I’ve written about subprime lenders, and how their demise will hurt the U.S. housing market, the economy, and the stock market. There’s no escaping the carnage headed our way because the housing market and subprime business are falling apart. The worst of our problems, because of the easy money made available to borrowers, which fuelled the housing boom that peaked in 2005, has yet to arrive.”

At the same time Michael wrote that former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said, “The worst is over for the U.S. housing market, and there will be no economic spillover effects from the poor housing market.”

Michael also warned his readers, in advance, of the crash in the stock market in 2008. On November 29, 2007, Michael Lombardi predicted, “The Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500, and the other major stock market indices finished yesterday with the best two-day showing since 2002. I’m looking at the market reality of the past two days as a classic stock market bear trap. As the economy gets closer to contraction, 2008 will likely be a most challenging economic year for America.”

The Dow Jones peaked at 14,279 in October 2007. A “sucker’s rally” developed in November 2007, which Michael quickly classified as a bear trap for his readers. One year later, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was at 8,726.

Profit Confidential turned bullish on stocks in March 2009 and rode the bear market rally from a Dow Jones Industrial Average of 6,440 on March 9, 2009.


The current bull market has not been kind to precious metals like platinum. Since hitting a high of $1,976.70 in August 2011, platinum prices have been halved to the current spot price of $981.60. While platinum is trading at a…

The one thing that companies aren’t doing is hitting their earnings out of the park and this is a problem for a stock market at its high. Countless companies aren’t reporting material comparable growth in their financials. So there’s no…

Income-starved investors are helping prop up the long-in-the-tooth bull market (up 220% since 2009) on the S&P 500. How else can you explain the support the S&P 500 has found in the face of a really mediocre earnings season? The…

With the Federal Reserve waiting to change the interest rate cycle, the saving grace for the stock market is that the central bank will only do so if the economic and inflationary data is strong enough. Last year, investor sentiment…

Going back to the lackluster corporate earnings from early reporters that I talked about in my last article, today, I’m taking a closer look at NIKE, Inc. (NKE), which appears to be outperforming the market so far in 2015. Current…

There is plenty of price strength in this bull market. It’s still coming from transportation stocks and dividend-paying blue chips. There’s also been continued price strength among home improvement retailers. Lowes Companies, Inc. (LOW) recently soared on the stock market…

Credit card companies are some of the best indicators in the global economy. Visa Inc. (V) just reported a pretty decent quarter. While earnings were down comparatively due to a one-time charge, adjusted earnings handily beat consensus. The company’s fiscal…

The demand and supply situation for gold bullion, something I’ve often talked about in these pages, has taken a new course…one very favorable to gold bulls like me. Gold buying in India is up 450% in the first nine months…

Over the past few months, I warned my readers the stock market had become a risky place to be. While I also suggested euphoria could bring the market higher than most thought possible—to the point of irrationality—the bubble has now…

Despite the choppy trading action before the end of the third quarter, a lot of the market’s best stocks are still ticking higher. And the positive trading action remains especially prevalent with large-caps and dividend-paying blue chips. Big investors want…

Getting a sense of where stocks are going to go in the year ahead is always difficult with the major indices at their all-time highs. The fundamental backdrop is still very favorable for equities. While the Federal Reserve has put…

Large-cap technology stocks, particularly old-school names, have really been on the rise, though they remain an untold story this year. Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is on a major upward price trend and is getting close to its all-time record-high set during…

There’s good resilience to this market. On most days, the NASDAQ Composite is still beating both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average comparatively, which is bullish. Lots of stocks are pushing new highs and many seem to be…

So long as transportation stocks are ticking higher, the stock market is much less susceptible to a price retrenchment. The Dow Jones Transportation Average just blew past 8,500, recently hitting a new record-high after taking a well-deserved break around mid-July…

Countless stocks are pushing new highs and a lot of them are still blue chips. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is lagging the other indices this year, but this is not unusual. The fact that many blue chips are still…

The stock market has an underlying strength to it, seemingly only to be undone by geopolitical events. Fed action always has the potential to shock the system. Negative economic news isn’t fazing this market. On the back of a pretty…

As evidence of the continuing bull market, Kinder Morgan, Inc.’s (KMI) massive acquisition of its partnership companies is a significant sign that business conditions remain strong in the energy industry. Kinder Morgan surprised the marketplace by announcing plans to purchase…