Canadian Markets are a Good Alternative
Thursday, February 16th, 2006
By George Leong, B.Comm. for Profit Confidential
I want to speak to you today about some foreign exposure for you portfolio. If you invest or trade solely in U.S.-listed stocks, you are missing out on some excellent gains as well as the opportunity to diversify geographically and reduce some exposure to the U.S. dollar.
In past commentaries, I have discussed the excellent double-digit returns in growing markets such as India, Mexico, and South Korea and rebounding markets in Japan. In China, I would avoid the loosely regulated exchanges there and advise entering ADRs trading on U.S. exchanges or in Chinese-focused mutual funds. Given the lackluster returns we have seen in the U.S. markets in 2004 and 2005, investing in some of the growing non-U.S. markets would have paid huge dividends to your overall portfolio. But, if you are somewhat cautious about investing in overseas markets, you only had to look north to Canada, where markets have performed much better than U.S. markets.
The benchmark Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index reached a historical high of 12,080.53 on February 6, up 7.17 percent from its close of 2005.
A strong weighting in commodity stocks such as energy, gold, and base metals, accounting for about 40% of the index, has driven the S&P/TSX composite index. If you are positive on commodities going forward like I am, this Canadian index might be worth a look. Unlike emerging markets such as India, Mexico, or South Korea, financial reporting in Canada is very good and follows GAAP.
When you trade Canadian listed companies on the S&P/TSX composite index, you can rest assured that the numbers you are seeing represent a realistic picture of the company. Moreover, the political system is sound, the financial infrastructure is highly regulated, and the economy is doing well.
In addition to the share price appreciation, investing in Canadian stocks or an index also gives you exposure to a currency that has risen over 20% against the U.S. dollar in the past year. You can also trade some Canadian stocks listed on U.S. exchanges.
If you are looking for more growth and added risk, you can also buy or trade the S&P/TSX SmallCap Index or S&P/TSX MidCap Index. If you are looking for blue chip index, there is the S&P/TSX 60 Index.
If you are looking for emerging and speculative issues, there is the S&P/TSX Venture Composite Index, which had a tarnished past but has really cleaned up its image after its takeover by the Toronto Stock Exchange. You can go to www.tsx.com for more info.
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Tags: china, gold, U.S. dollar
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George is a Senior Editor at Lombardi Financial, and has been involved in analyzing the stock markets for two decades where he employs both fundamental and technical analysis. His overall market timing and trading knowledge is extensive in the areas of small-cap research and option trading. George is the editor of several of Lombardi’s popular financial newsletters, including The China Letter, Special Situations, and Obscene Profits, among others. His trading advice on stocks and options is also found on his daily trading site, Daily Profits. He has written technical and fundamental columns for numerous stock market news web sites, and he is the author of Quick Wealth Options Strategy and Mastering 7 Proven Options Strategies. Prior to starting with Lombardi Financial, George was employed as a financial analyst with Globe Information Services.
