Debt Ceiling

The debt ceiling was constructed to prevent the government from spending more than its set limits. If the debt ceiling was strictly enforced, once a limit is hit, spending would need to be cut to prevent the budget from going over the limit. The problem with the debt ceiling is that whenever the government appears to hit its limit, the politicians from both parties agree to increase the debt ceiling. So in effect, the current government essentially runs with no “hard” debt ceiling.


Why Stocks Likely to Head Higher into the New Year

By Monday, December 2, 2013
retail sectorToday is Cyber Monday, when consumers will flock online and spend over a billion dollars. In 2012, $1.47 billion in sales occurred on this day and the expectations are that the number could swell to $1.68 billion today. (Dengler, P., “Cyber Monday Predictions For 2013,” Business2Community.com, October 28, 2013.) We will also find.

Nomura Calls for 50% Correction in Global Stock Markets

By Friday, November 8, 2013
Nomura Calls for 50% Correction in Global Stock MarketsI’m getting increasingly nervous about the current stock market and its vulnerability to the downside. We have a fragile economic renewal, weak corporate revenue growth, muted jobs growth, a housing market that’s stalling, an upcoming leadership transition at the Federal Reserve, and the government still needs to hammer out.

U.S. Credit Rating Downgraded to Same Level as Brazil?

By Thursday, October 17, 2013
171013_PC_lombardiThe U.S. government, after winning World War II for the Allies, was very convincing. It told central banks around the world that they should hold the U.S. dollar as their reserve currency instead of gold, based on the idea the U.S. dollar would be backed by gold. Only limited amounts of U.S. dollars could be printed, because the currency.

Has the Stock Market Gone Mad?

By Monday, October 14, 2013
Has the Stock Market Gone MadThe stock market…a place where rationality has been thrown out the door in favor of trading for immediate profits…profits based on what the government and Federal Reserve are planning to do next. It’s no longer a place for average investors to make money, as the fundamentals that drive key stock indices higher don’t really matter.

My Bet: New Fed Chief Loves Printing Presses More Than the Last Guy

By Friday, October 11, 2013
corporate earningsCompanies in key stock indices have started to report their corporate earnings for the third quarter of this year. Not surprising, they are weak and show signs of stress. According to FactSet, up until October 4, 90 companies in key stock indices like the S&P 500 issued negative guidance about their third-quarter corporate earnings.
Sep. 4, 2015
Trailing 12-month EPS for Dow Jones companies (Most Recent Quarter) $1014.15
Trailing 12-month Price/earnings multiple (Most Recent Quarter)

17.44

Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend Yield 2.62%
10-year U.S. Treasury Yield 2.19%

Immediate term outlook:
The bear market rally in stocks that started in March 2009, extended because of unprecedented central bank money printing, is coming to an end. Gold bullion is up $1,000 an ounce since we first recommended it in 2002 and we are still bullish on the physical metal.

Short-to-medium term outlook:
World economies are entering their slowest growth period since 2009. The Chinese economy grew last year at its slowest pace in 24 years. Japan is in recession. The eurozone is in depression. With almost half the S&P 500 companies deriving revenue outside the U.S., slower world economic growth will negatively impact revenue and earnings growth of American companies. Domestically, America’s gross domestic product grew by only a meager 2.3% in the second quarter, which will negatively impact an already overpriced equity market.

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From: Michael Lombardi, MBA
Subject: 200% Profit on the Ultimate "Fear Gauge" Play

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