Debt Crisis

A debt crisis occurs when a country is unable to repay its loans. Because it is overarching, a debt crisis is indicative of the overall heath of the national economy, international loans, and budgeting. When a country is faced with a debt crisis, it cannot pay off its financial obligations and must seek out assistance.

The United States faced a debt crisis on the heels of the housing market collapse and overall weakening economy. In December 2007, the U.S. entered into the Great Recession—and it lasted for 18 months. Over that time, the economy ground to a halt; businesses and individuals began to default on loans and banks saw their balance sheets shrink. To stave off further economic shock, banks made it more difficult to borrow, as cutting off liquidity means businesses cannot invest in growth and individuals cannot consumer.

To stave off an all-out economic collapse, the Federal Reserve stepped in with its first of three rounds of quantitative easing in November 2008. Since that time, the Federal Reserve has printed over $3.0 trillion and the U.S. national debt has soared from roughly $9.0 trillion to $18.0 trillion. The U.S. continues to run a budget deficit and does not expect to run a surplus until 2024; this means the U.S. debt crisis will not be under control for another decade.


Market Indices Down After Fears of Greek Contagion

By Wednesday, July 8, 2015
S&P 500 TumblesWall Street opened lower on Wednesday, July 8, on worries over Chinese financial instability and Greece’s debt crisis remaining unsolved. The main Chinese index, the Shanghai Composite, plunged nearly 30% from mid-June. On Wednesday, the Shanghai Index dropped by 6.75%. Trading on nearly half of every stock listed was halted. .

S&P 500 Opens Higher as Greece Talks Resume

By Tuesday, July 7, 2015
S&P 500 Opens HigherWall Street opened flat on Tuesday, July 7th, as talks between Greece and its creditors resumed. The U.S. trade deficit widened in May, reflecting concerns over weak global demand. European stocks continue to slide while the euro hit a five-week low against the dollar. In China, the stock market fell again despite the emergency measures.

S&P 500 Plunges 13 Points Sharply Down on Greece Debt Crisis

By Monday, July 6, 2015
Greece Debt CrisisWall Street opened sharply lower on Monday July 6, 2015, as Greek people rejected the bailout package by creditors on Sunday, putting the euro on edge. European stock markets plunged as Greece’s exit from the eurozone seems to be likely. After Greece overwhelmingly voted against conditions for a rescue package on Sunday’s referendum,.

Greece Debt Crisis: “No” Vote Could End in Economic Collapse

By Friday, July 3, 2015
Greece Debt CrisisOn Sunday July 5th, Greece citizens will vote on a referendum that may be remembered as the start of a global economic collapse. The referendum comes just days after Greece defaulted on its debt payments to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). (Source: Business Insider, July 3, 2015.) The small Mediterranean nation ran short of money.

S&P 500 Up on Strong Job Numbers in June

By Thursday, July 2, 2015
S&P 500 Up on Strong Job NumbersWall Street opened slightly higher on Thursday, July 2nd, as job growth slowed down in June, lowering the probability that the Federal Reserve will raise the interest rate this year. European stock markets traded lower and the mood was one of caution with Greece set to vote on a referendum on Sunday. Job growth slows down in the summer.
Sep. 3, 2015
Trailing 12-month EPS for Dow Jones companies (Most Recent Quarter) $1014.15
Trailing 12-month Price/earnings multiple (Most Recent Quarter)

17.44

Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend Yield 2.62%
10-year U.S. Treasury Yield 2.19%

Immediate term outlook:
The bear market rally in stocks that started in March 2009, extended because of unprecedented central bank money printing, is coming to an end. Gold bullion is up $1,000 an ounce since we first recommended it in 2002 and we are still bullish on the physical metal.

Short-to-medium term outlook:
World economies are entering their slowest growth period since 2009. The Chinese economy grew last year at its slowest pace in 24 years. Japan is in recession. The eurozone is in depression. With almost half the S&P 500 companies deriving revenue outside the U.S., slower world economic growth will negatively impact revenue and earnings growth of American companies. Domestically, America’s gross domestic product grew by only a meager 2.3% in the second quarter, which will negatively impact an already overpriced equity market.

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From: Michael Lombardi, MBA
Subject: Golden Opportunity for Stock Market Investors

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