Lombardi: Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis Since 1986

Gold Mining Stocks

The securities of public corporations the main business of which is to mine for gold bullion are often referred to as “gold mining stocks.” The Dow Jones U.S. Gold Mining Index is a stock market index that is a weighted average of about 100 of the largest and most widely held gold mining stocks trading on major American stock exchanges. When the price of gold bullion is rising, the prices of gold mining stocks are rising. Similarly, when the price of gold bullion is declining, the prices of gold mining stocks are declining.

Two of My Favorite Gold and Silver Stocks

By for Profit Confidential

gold stocksIf there ever was an environment illustrating how risky and tough resource investing can be, the current conditions for gold stocks are the textbook example.

Resource investing is a risk-capital only endeavor. When it comes to equities, resource-related stocks should never make up the core of a long-term investment portfolio. In almost all cases, even the fastest-growing, best-managed gold stocks still perform commensurately with the underlying spot price.

One of the best junior gold mining companies I know of is Argonaut Gold Inc. (TSX/AR). The company has growing production, but the stock is way down and can’t generate any momentum.

One of the best silver companies I know of is Endeavour Silver Corp. (EXK). In the second quarter of 2013, the company’s revenues grew to $71.1 million, compared to $40.4 million. Total silver production was up 48% to 1.5 million ounces in the most recent quarter, with gold production up 159% to 19,914 ounces.

Like Argonaut, Endeavour Silver is trading near a multiyear low on the stock market. It’s followed the spot price of silver almost exactly, falling consistently in value since the beginning of 2012.

While both companies don’t seem to be doing so well on the charts, they are both good mining companies. They have growing production, are keeping cash costs below industry growth rates, and their stocks are very reasonably priced.

The problem is they will stay reasonably priced so long as the spot price of yellow precious metal either remains flat or goes down. That’s the way it works in the gold mining business. The entire industry comes down to one financial metric—the spot price.

In … Read More

Business Stalls for Equipment Manufacturers; Outlook for Precious Metal Companies Flat

By for Profit Confidential

Business Stalls for Equipment ManufacturersOne specific stock market sector that continues to be very challenging is the precious metals mining area. A combination of events has hit the precious metals producers: lower spot prices and rising costs being two of the main factors. It’s been the perfect storm for gold mining stocks, and the trend isn’t over yet.

And with reduced operating margins comes the big squeeze in capital expenditures. This is no more evident than in the well-known mining equipment company Joy Global Inc. (JOY), which has been under pressure on the stock market for the entire year.

Joy Global is a well-known manufacturer of mining equipment out of Milwaukee, Wisconsin. It’s been around since 1884, and like precious metals themselves, the company’s share price is volatile.

In the company’s latest earnings report for its third fiscal quarter of 2013 (ended July 26), total bookings for underground mining machinery dropped a staggering 42.6% to $361.2 million from $629.2 million in the same quarter last year.

The company reported original equipment orders fell 68%, with declines in all regions except China. Aftermarket orders fell 27%, with declines in all regions except North America. Foreign exchange hurt orders for underground mining machinery, which dropped by $71.0 million, according to the company.

Total revenues in Joy Global’s latest quarter fell five percent to $1.3 billion. As noted by the company’s management team, prices for industrial metals and bulk commodities have dropped 20% to 40% over the last 18 months.

Seaborne coal prices have fallen 17% since the beginning of the year, and China’s domestic coal prices have dropped almost 20%. With this backdrop, Joy Global says … Read More

Newmont—the “Best of Breed” of All Gold Stocks

By for Profit Confidential

Gold ProducersThere’s been plenty of talk around here regarding gold and whether the precious metal is heading for $2,000. In my view, the current global risk will support and drive gold higher. (Read “The Stock Market Event You Need to Guard Against Right Now.”)

For any gold investor, the question is whether to buy the physical bullion or gold mining stocks. If you like the idea of holding the actual gold, you can always fly to Dubai and buy the metal from the vending machines, like Michael outlined yesterday in his article. But for the average investor, I favor gold stocks over the higher risk of other commodity options.

An investment strategy would be to buy a mixture of exploration-stage gold mining stocks along with small to large gold producers. Under this scenario, you can play both the potential aggressive gains of exploration stocks and the steady returns of the large gold producers.

For investors interested in exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) is worth a look and is currently trading in a sideways channel, above the 50- and 200-day moving averages (MAs).

SPDR Gold Trust Chart

 Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

At the top of my list of gold stocks is Newmont Mining Corporation (NYSE/NEM); in my view, Newmont is one of the best stocks in gold, because this stock will generate value for your portfolio for years to come. I’ll go even so far as to say that this stock is the only one you will need to own for the next decade, with its good price appreciation potential and dividend.

Missing its earnings-per-share (EPS) estimates in three … Read More

Stock Market Outlook Solid Based on Earnings and Valuation

By for Profit Confidential

Stock Market Outlook Solid Based The stock market certainly isn’t going up because of stronger expectations for corporate earnings. But I think all the conservative forecasts by corporations will lead to another quarter of mostly outperformance this upcoming earnings season. Companies have consistently been able to generate good earnings, even with lackluster revenue growth. Cost cutting is paying off in terms of solid earnings results, and this is the reason why balance sheets are so strong.

With companies in such a good financial condition, a new upward business cycle should produce a major acceleration in corporate earnings. The key, of course, is jump-starting a new business cycle, and it will be awfully difficult to do this if policymakers aren’t able to address all the issues regarding sovereign debt and the fiscal cliff. Country finances are going to be a major issue next year.

The best thing the stock market has going for it right now is its reasonable valuation. (See “Equities Market Doing Fine—Just Look at the Long-term Charts.”) That gives the stock market a lot of leeway, with all the uncertainty on the horizon. We know the stock market went up recently on the hope of new monetary stimulus from the Federal Reserve. Contributing to positive investor sentiment has been quiet on the eurozone’s sovereign debt crisis, somewhat improved U.S. economic news and a weaker U.S. dollar. Whether this lasts is all up to the Federal Reserve.

There really isn’t anything more the central bank can do to stimulate the U.S. economy. Further action from the Federal Reserve will only be to appease Wall Street investors. If the central bank disappoints the … Read More

Gold Stocks Breaking Out of Their Correction

By for Profit Confidential

Gold Stocks Breaking Out of Their CorrectionThe price of gold is going up, and it just crossed $1,660 an ounce. Silver crossed $30.00 an ounce. You might say that precious metals are back. You can plainly see the resurgence in gold stocks, which have really turned around from what was a considerable period of weakness. The majority of gold stocks have been trending lower all year, as the spot price has been consolidating.

Expectations for more monetary stimulus from the Federal Reserve are contributing to a weaker U.S. dollar, which is helping precious metals (and oil prices) move higher. If the Federal Reserve takes additional action at its next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September, then the recent strength in gold prices should carry right into 2013. (See “Federal Reserve: Will It Act Soon to Jump Start the Economy?”) Regardless, I wouldn’t be without some exposure to gold over the near term; I think we have the makings of a new upward trend in gold prices.

Across the board, mining companies have had a tough year on the stock market. It’s as if institutional investors just abandoned the entire group. Even large-cap dividend-paying heavyweights in the gold sector have been under a lot of pressure. And the funny thing is that the spot price of gold really hasn’t corrected all that much from its record high. As is usually the case, gold investors join the bandwagon late and leave it very quickly.

Newmont Mining Corporation (NYSE/NEM) has been struggling all year. The stock was trading at $60.00 a share at the beginning of the year and hit a low of $42.95. In … Read More

« Older Entries

Two of My Favorite Gold and Silver Stocks

By for Profit Confidential

gold stocksIf there ever was an environment illustrating how risky and tough resource investing can be, the current conditions for gold stocks are the textbook example.

Resource investing is a risk-capital only endeavor. When it comes to equities, resource-related stocks should never make up the core of a long-term investment portfolio. In almost all cases, even the fastest-growing, best-managed gold stocks still perform commensurately with the underlying spot price.

One of the best junior gold mining companies I know of is Argonaut Gold Inc. (TSX/AR). The company has growing production, but the stock is way down and can’t generate any momentum.

One of the best silver companies I know of is Endeavour Silver Corp. (EXK). In the second quarter of 2013, the company’s revenues grew to $71.1 million, compared to $40.4 million. Total silver production was up 48% to 1.5 million ounces in the most recent quarter, with gold production up 159% to 19,914 ounces.

Like Argonaut, Endeavour Silver is trading near a multiyear low on the stock market. It’s followed the spot price of silver almost exactly, falling consistently in value since the beginning of 2012.

While both companies don’t seem to be doing so well on the charts, they are both good mining companies. They have growing production, are keeping cash costs below industry growth rates, and their stocks are very reasonably priced.

The problem is they will stay reasonably priced so long as the spot price of yellow precious metal either remains flat or goes down. That’s the way it works in the gold mining business. The entire industry comes down to one financial metric—the spot price.

In … Read More

Business Stalls for Equipment Manufacturers; Outlook for Precious Metal Companies Flat

By for Profit Confidential

Business Stalls for Equipment ManufacturersOne specific stock market sector that continues to be very challenging is the precious metals mining area. A combination of events has hit the precious metals producers: lower spot prices and rising costs being two of the main factors. It’s been the perfect storm for gold mining stocks, and the trend isn’t over yet.

And with reduced operating margins comes the big squeeze in capital expenditures. This is no more evident than in the well-known mining equipment company Joy Global Inc. (JOY), which has been under pressure on the stock market for the entire year.

Joy Global is a well-known manufacturer of mining equipment out of Milwaukee, Wisconsin. It’s been around since 1884, and like precious metals themselves, the company’s share price is volatile.

In the company’s latest earnings report for its third fiscal quarter of 2013 (ended July 26), total bookings for underground mining machinery dropped a staggering 42.6% to $361.2 million from $629.2 million in the same quarter last year.

The company reported original equipment orders fell 68%, with declines in all regions except China. Aftermarket orders fell 27%, with declines in all regions except North America. Foreign exchange hurt orders for underground mining machinery, which dropped by $71.0 million, according to the company.

Total revenues in Joy Global’s latest quarter fell five percent to $1.3 billion. As noted by the company’s management team, prices for industrial metals and bulk commodities have dropped 20% to 40% over the last 18 months.

Seaborne coal prices have fallen 17% since the beginning of the year, and China’s domestic coal prices have dropped almost 20%. With this backdrop, Joy Global says … Read More

Newmont—the “Best of Breed” of All Gold Stocks

By for Profit Confidential

Gold ProducersThere’s been plenty of talk around here regarding gold and whether the precious metal is heading for $2,000. In my view, the current global risk will support and drive gold higher. (Read “The Stock Market Event You Need to Guard Against Right Now.”)

For any gold investor, the question is whether to buy the physical bullion or gold mining stocks. If you like the idea of holding the actual gold, you can always fly to Dubai and buy the metal from the vending machines, like Michael outlined yesterday in his article. But for the average investor, I favor gold stocks over the higher risk of other commodity options.

An investment strategy would be to buy a mixture of exploration-stage gold mining stocks along with small to large gold producers. Under this scenario, you can play both the potential aggressive gains of exploration stocks and the steady returns of the large gold producers.

For investors interested in exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) is worth a look and is currently trading in a sideways channel, above the 50- and 200-day moving averages (MAs).

SPDR Gold Trust Chart

 Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

At the top of my list of gold stocks is Newmont Mining Corporation (NYSE/NEM); in my view, Newmont is one of the best stocks in gold, because this stock will generate value for your portfolio for years to come. I’ll go even so far as to say that this stock is the only one you will need to own for the next decade, with its good price appreciation potential and dividend.

Missing its earnings-per-share (EPS) estimates in three … Read More

Stock Market Outlook Solid Based on Earnings and Valuation

By for Profit Confidential

Stock Market Outlook Solid Based The stock market certainly isn’t going up because of stronger expectations for corporate earnings. But I think all the conservative forecasts by corporations will lead to another quarter of mostly outperformance this upcoming earnings season. Companies have consistently been able to generate good earnings, even with lackluster revenue growth. Cost cutting is paying off in terms of solid earnings results, and this is the reason why balance sheets are so strong.

With companies in such a good financial condition, a new upward business cycle should produce a major acceleration in corporate earnings. The key, of course, is jump-starting a new business cycle, and it will be awfully difficult to do this if policymakers aren’t able to address all the issues regarding sovereign debt and the fiscal cliff. Country finances are going to be a major issue next year.

The best thing the stock market has going for it right now is its reasonable valuation. (See “Equities Market Doing Fine—Just Look at the Long-term Charts.”) That gives the stock market a lot of leeway, with all the uncertainty on the horizon. We know the stock market went up recently on the hope of new monetary stimulus from the Federal Reserve. Contributing to positive investor sentiment has been quiet on the eurozone’s sovereign debt crisis, somewhat improved U.S. economic news and a weaker U.S. dollar. Whether this lasts is all up to the Federal Reserve.

There really isn’t anything more the central bank can do to stimulate the U.S. economy. Further action from the Federal Reserve will only be to appease Wall Street investors. If the central bank disappoints the … Read More

Gold Stocks Breaking Out of Their Correction

By for Profit Confidential

Gold Stocks Breaking Out of Their CorrectionThe price of gold is going up, and it just crossed $1,660 an ounce. Silver crossed $30.00 an ounce. You might say that precious metals are back. You can plainly see the resurgence in gold stocks, which have really turned around from what was a considerable period of weakness. The majority of gold stocks have been trending lower all year, as the spot price has been consolidating.

Expectations for more monetary stimulus from the Federal Reserve are contributing to a weaker U.S. dollar, which is helping precious metals (and oil prices) move higher. If the Federal Reserve takes additional action at its next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September, then the recent strength in gold prices should carry right into 2013. (See “Federal Reserve: Will It Act Soon to Jump Start the Economy?”) Regardless, I wouldn’t be without some exposure to gold over the near term; I think we have the makings of a new upward trend in gold prices.

Across the board, mining companies have had a tough year on the stock market. It’s as if institutional investors just abandoned the entire group. Even large-cap dividend-paying heavyweights in the gold sector have been under a lot of pressure. And the funny thing is that the spot price of gold really hasn’t corrected all that much from its record high. As is usually the case, gold investors join the bandwagon late and leave it very quickly.

Newmont Mining Corporation (NYSE/NEM) has been struggling all year. The stock was trading at $60.00 a share at the beginning of the year and hit a low of $42.95. In … Read More

Spot Gold Is Going Down, But Attractive
Stock Market Opportunities Are Going up

By for Profit Confidential

precious metalsThe stock market and a number of commodities are in correction and this is no surprise at all. I want to repeat my view that all kinds of solid, growing gold mining companies are becoming very attractively priced right now and, as a sector, it’s worth putting gold stocks on your radar screen.

It’s a bit too early to jump right in with the spot price of gold likely to experience more downside. From a stock market perspective, most gold stocks began pulling back hard in mid-March, affecting even the best stocks within the sector. We’ve got to see the spot price of gold bottom out from its current downtrend and then I think we’ll have another really good entry point for considering new positions.

Investing in gold has always been a risky business, but it’s a worthwhile endeavor if you’re a stock market and commodities speculator. The key, like always, is to get the cycle right—timing in the investment business is everything. Even though the long-term trend might still be intact, the spot price of gold could easily go down to $1,200 or $1,100 an ounce. Why not? Gold has been in a bull market since 2002. The current price action in spot gold is very similar to the correction that occurred 2008/2009 and I wouldn’t be surprised at all if it repeated this trend: correction, recovery, consolidation, and then re-acceleration. It does take time.

Right now, there are large, medium and small producers of gold trading for reasonable prices on the stock market. A lot of these companies have little to no debt and are sitting on large … Read More

Two Best Investor Cures for Rapid Inflation

By for Profit Confidential

rapid inflationThe growth in manufacturing in the U.S. has been flat. Despite this, the Empire State Manufacturing Survey noted that input costs—oil and commodity prices for manufacturers—has risen steadily over the last few months, with February’s high level not seen since the summer of 2011…more rapid inflation (source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York).

Import prices of goods to the U.S. rose 0.4% in February and, although higher oil prices can be blamed, goods and services imported from overseas also contributed to the rise. From a year ago, import prices have gained 5.5% (source: U.S. Labor Department)! More rapid inflation.

In China, their latest Purchasing Managers’ Index for March showed that their input costs (cost of goods) were flat, but that inflationary pressures remained high (source: Markit Economics). The index noted that input costs—oil and commodity prices—have been rising over the last half of 2011; rapid inflation.

In India, their latest Purchasing Managers’ Index for February revealed that their input costs—oil and commodity prices—are rising at a historically rapid inflation rate. The rapid inflation rise in input costs has persisted for the last six months. As with China, both countries are increasing their prices to compensate, which is why import prices in the U.S. or these goods and services are higher.

In Europe, their March Purchasing Managers’ Index revealed the steepest rise—again, rapid inflation—in input prices since the summer of 2011 (sound familiar?). The inflation rate recorded matches the highest long-run average in its 14-year history!

Just so readers don’t get the wrong impression that it is just the troubled nations in Europe experiencing rapid inflation,Germany’s Purchasing Managers’ Index also reported … Read More

The Next Evolution in Gold Mining Stocks

By for Profit Confidential

gold mining stocksThere is no question that it has been a frustrating time for investors in gold mining stocks.

Despite gold bullion climbing higher, gold mining stocks have been stuck in a trading range for quite some time. As I’ve been telling my readers, analysts look forward a few years in the future to estimate the earnings these gold mining stocks will attain.

Analysts see prices in the $1,200-$1,500 per ounce range for gold bullion in the next few years. Although I strongly disagree with this view, this perception won’t change until gold bullion continues its march higher.

This doesn’t mean that gold mining stocks can’t fight back. During other great gold bullion bull market runs, gold mining stocks paid dividends in gold bullion. I was hoping miners would take that as an example and make the practice commonplace in today’s market. It has not happened as of yet, but, finally, some gold mining stocks are taking the first steps.

Gold Resource Corporation (AMEX/GORO) has been paying regular cash dividends, but, starting this April, shareholders will have the option to convert their cash dividends into physical gold bullion and/or silver bullion.

This gold mining stock is teaming with a gold bullion dealer to facilitate the opening and management of shareholder bullion accounts. Furthermore, the gold bullion and silver bullion will be created by the company itself: Gold Resource’s “Double Eagle” one-ounce .999 fine gold bullion rounds and/or one-ounce .999 fine silver bullion rounds.

This is an exciting development and I expect many more gold mining stocks to institute such programs in the near future, as central bank printing presses continue to … Read More

What My Gut Is Telling Me Right Now About the Stock Market

By for Profit Confidential

economic newsThe single greatest threat to your investment portfolio isn’t a Greek debt default (although that’s a big one). The major threat is geopolitical and it has to do with the potential for war with Iranand, to a lesser extent, Syria. Investment risk in the stock market remains very high at this time. I repeat my earlier view that a conservative investment stance is warranted.

Of course, because the stock market has run so strong since the beginning of the year, it is due for a consolidation/correction. Reasonable equity valuations and help from the Federal Reserve have helped stock prices tremendously. If war breaks out in theMiddle East, you can bet that the Federal Reserve will print even more money.

 I’m actually a little surprised by the spot price action in gold, but gold’s weakness is mostly due to weakness in the euro currency, which is boosting the U.S. dollar. When the U.S. dollar strengthens, the price of gold tends to suffer. There has been a geopolitical risk premium in the spot price of oil, but so far, not really in gold. As I wrote previously, gold is worth buying, $1,600 or below. It should be a hedge position in a portfolio already.

 I just can’t say enough about the amount of investment risk that’s growing in capital markets today. It is an election year and that tends to be a positive for the stock market. But, all the structural problems in mature economies remain and economic growth in BRIC countries is slowing. Add in geopolitical problems and we have the makings of a real mess. I think stock market investors … Read More

A Blessing in Disguise for Astute Investors

By for Profit Confidential

A “snowball” problem for America that just won’t go away could be a blessing in disguise for astute investors…

Manufacturing jobs have fallen steadily since the 1950s. Low-wage countries, especially China, have been the center of the movement of factory work and job creation out and away from the United States.

In the 1960s, manufacturer United States Steel Corporation (NYSE/X) employed over 225,000 factory workers, Westinghouse Electric, had 114,000, and General Motors Company (NYSE/GM) employed over 595,000 factory workers. The center of job creation in America was manufacturing.

Today, service companies in the U.S. dominate the economic landscape when it comes to job creation: United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE/UPS) employs over 400,000 people; Target Corporation (NYSE/TGT), 355,000; and Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE/WMT) has 2,100,000 service employees on its payroll. From what I can see, job creation over the past three years has been in the service sector (with heavy emphasis on retail) and at the government level.

In his State of the Union address last week, the President was adamant about wanting manufacturing jobs to come back to America. It will probably be a major part of his re-election campaign, in a bid to spur job creation, which is sorely needed in this country. But how can it possibly happen? Isn’t it a pipedream that manufacturing jobs will return to America so the job creation engine will start running again?

China’s development and rapid job creation have led to wages rising at least 15% per annum in recent years, which means that, within five years, the cost savings to manufacturers of producing in China as compared to the U.S. will … Read More

Gold Stocks: There’s Value in Them There Hills

By for Profit Confidential

For years, I’ve been a bull on gold mining stocks, but also precious metals stocks in general.

Gold mining stocks and precious metals stocks did not perform very well last year (compared to recent years), but that doesn’t mean there is no value in them. Usually, when a sector like this is beaten down or forgotten by the market in general, value players come in and buy it up (myself, when gold bullion prices dip, I try my best to buy gold-related investment to average down my overall investment cost).

Analysts who follow the mining sector and who have earnings forecasts for these gold mining stocks typically value them as if the price of gold bullion was trading well below its current level. This means that, not only are the gold mining stocks cheap, they are also trading on the assumption that the price of gold bullion will fall to within the range of $1,200-$1,500 an ounce in a few years. Why buy gold bullion when you can buy a quality gold mining stocks at a discount to the price of gold bullion?

It’s been a frustrating time for investors of the gold mining stocks, but if the value players are hesitant to jump in feet first, there are other players who will.

Pan American Silver Corp. (NASDAQ/PAAS), the world’s second-largest primary silver miner, has just offered $1.5 billion in combined cash and stock deal to acquire Minefinders Corp. Ltd. (ASE/MFN), a medium-sized silver producer whose primary assets reside in Mexico. The price tag is a 36% premium to where Minefinders traded last Friday.

This, in my opinion, is … Read More

The Gold Stock at the Top of My List

By for Profit Confidential

The Gold Stock at the Top of My ListAfter the tech bubble in March 2000 popped and before the recent financial and credit crises struck, at least three sectors have managed to post significant gains: bonds; real estate; and small-caps. For some reason, however, gold remained under the radar for most investors. Yet, since the stock market peak, prices have climbed past many psychological marks. The shares of companies that mine the metal have gone for the ride.

The perennial question for any gold investor is whether to buy bullion or gold mining stocks. I favor gold stocks over the higher risk of other commodity options.

While generally favoring gold stocks, I view Newmont Mining Corporation (NYSE/NEM) in particular as a really good investment, because we see this stock bringing value to your portfolio for years to come.

Without a doubt, for those investors looking to hedge their portfolios with gold exposure, Newmont Mining deserves to be at the top of the list. This company stands out among other players for two reasons: 1) size; and 2) low production costs, even in the rising price environment.

Over the years, Newmont has grown rapidly through mergers and acquisitions, as well as the development of its existing reserves. This strategy resulted in the company’s diversified risks; namely, unlike junior producers, Newmont doesn’t depend on one or two of its mines for its future and it is certainly not exposed to politically unstable regions.

In that regard, the risk is spread out, as the company continues to maintain an aggressive worldwide exploration program and is actively participating in and taking advantage of the ongoing industry consolidations.

In terms of costs, Newmont Read More

Best Play for 2012: The Gold Mining Stocks

By for Profit Confidential

Over the past three trading days, gold bullion has lost roughly $100.00 an ounce. This correction is good medicine! The speculators who got into gold late are being taught a lesson. The weak money is leaving gold. This is exactly the type of healthy correction in the 10-year bull market in gold that I’ve been waiting for!

Break-up of Eurozone a
Foregone Conclusion?

By for Profit Confidential

There is no doubt. Concern over the eurozone is stagnating growth in the Europe. It was reported this morning that the unemployment rate in the United Kingdom is at a 17-year high (Source: London-based Office for National Statistics).

Newmont Mining: A Class Act in Gold

By for Profit Confidential

The gold stock that George Leong views as a strong example of the type of stock that should bring value to your portfolio for years to come. Since the bursting of the tech bubble in March 2000 and before the recent financial and credit crises struck, at least three sectors have managed to post significant gains: bonds; real estate; and small-caps. For some reason, however, gold remained under the radar for most investors. Yet, since the stock market peak, prices have climbed past many psychological marks. The shares of companies that mine the metal have gone along for the ride.

The perennial question for any gold investor is whether to buy gold bullion or gold mining stocks. I favor gold stocks over the higher risk of other commodity options.

While generally favoring gold stocks, I view Newmont Mining Corporation (NYSE/NEM) in particular as a strong example of the type of stock that should bring value to your portfolio for years to come.

Without a doubt, for those investors looking to hedge their portfolios with gold exposure, Newmont Mining deserves to be at the top of the list. This company stands out among other players for two reasons: 1) size; and 2) low production costs, even in the rising price environment.

Over the years, Newmont has grown rapidly through mergers and acquisitions, as well as the development of its existing reserves. This strategy resulted in the company’s diversified risks; namely, unlike junior producers, Newmont doesn’t depend on one or two of its mines for its future and it is certainly not exposed to politically unstable regions.

In that regard, the risk is spread out, as the company continues to maintain an aggressive worldwide exploration program and is actively participating in and taking advantage of the ongoing industry … Read More

The Great Crash of 2014

A stock market crash bigger than what happened in 2008 and early 2009 is headed our way.

In fact, we are predicting this crash will be even more devastating than the 1929 crash…

…the ramifications of which will hit the economy and Americans deeper than anything we’ve ever seen.

Our 27-year-old research firm feels so strongly about this, we’ve just produced a video to warn investors called, “The Great Crash of 2014.”

In case you are not familiar with our research work on the stock market:

In late 2001, in the aftermath of 9/11, we told our clients to buy small-cap stocks. They rose about 100% after we made that call.

We were one of the first major advisors to turn bullish on gold.

Throughout 2002, we urged our readers to buy gold stocks; many of which doubled and even tripled in price.

In November of 2007, we started begging our customers to get out of the stock market. Shortly afterwards, it was widely recognized that October 2007 was the top for stocks.

We correctly predicted the crash in the stock market of 2008 and early 2009.

And in March of 2009, we started telling our readers to jump into small caps. The Russell 2000 gained about 175% from when we made that call in 2009 to today.

Many investors will find our next prediction hard to believe until they see all the proof we have to back it up.

Even if you don’t own stocks, what’s about to happen will affect you!

I urge you to be among the first to get our next major prediction.
See it here now in this just-released alarming video.

This is an entirely free service. No credit card required.

We hate spam as much as you do.
Check out our privacy policy.