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Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis

Welcome to Profit Confidential • Wednesday, May 23, 2012

What’s Really Happening in the Stock Market

Monday, January 23rd, 2006
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential

You may recall early last week when I wrote an article, “A Roaring Start to the New Year,” and talked about how little faith I had in the big-cap stock rally that started at the beginning of January. I even gave my “logical reasons on why the rally in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be short-lived.”

Well, the rally that started in big-cap stocks came to a grounding halt this past Friday with the Dow Jones falling 1.96% — the popular index’s biggest one day drop in almost three years.

Something else — very important — happened on Friday. The yield curve inverted Friday for the second such incidence in less than two months. For a time on Friday, you could have bought a two-year U.S. bond that that would have yielded more than a 10- year U.S. bond. In the past, when this has happened, the U.S. has sunk into a recession.

While I’m not going to think too much about a yield curve that has failed to significantly diverge, I’m going to listen to what the big- cap stock market told me on Friday past.

In my opinion, Friday was a terrible day for the stock market, causing severe technical damage to big-cap and blue-chip stocks. Not only were moving averages broken by the popular indices, but, more significantly, the Dow Jones closed below its lowest level of the preceding month. And with 29 of the Dow Jones’ 30 stocks being down on Friday, I have absolutely no reason to change my bearish stance on the general stock market.

Most of the popular financial media reading I read this weekend said Friday’s correction was overdue… that everything is good in the stock market. I find this hard to believe.

What’s really happening in the stock market?

Too few people are writing or talking about why gold is moving up so rapidly. And too few people are writing or talking about the debt crisis in America. But if you ask me, if you look at the price action of gold bullion… if you look at how damaging our debt crisis could be to the economy and the U.S. dollar… you’ll have your answer on where big company stocks are headed.

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Profit Confidential AuthorMichael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on Twitter

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