Lombardi: Expert Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis Since 1986
Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis

Welcome to Profit Confidential • Wednesday, May 23, 2012

Only Fools Rush in, Again

Monday, August 18th, 2008
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential

Thirty-one years ago Friday, Elvis Presley passed away. One of my favorite songs of the King of Rock and Roll, as he was called, was “Only Fools Rush In.” In that song, the first lyric goes, “Wise men say only fools rush in.”

I’m sure just the smart money (the “wise men”) in the stock market was saying exactly that on Friday, as gold bullion fell a whopping $22.80 to $792.10 an ounce and latecomers to the gold bull market licked their wounds. Here are two things you need to know about the bull market in gold bullion and quality gold stocks.

Is the long-term bull market in gold bullion that started in 2002 over? My flat out answer is no, it still is a gold bull market and I would buy quality gold stocks on any pullback.

For the bull market in gold bullion to be over, the yellow metal would have to fall below $675.00 an ounce, which is the mid-point between the $300.00 low at which the bull market started in 2002 and the subsequent high of $1,050. My opinion is that we have a much better chance of eventually seeing gold back over $1,000 than we do of seeing it below $675.00 and ounce

Secondly, and as I have written extensively in PROFIT CONFIDENTIAL in the recent past, the last several years have been quite seasonal for gold bullion prices. The metal tends not to move much in price from the spring to the fall of each year.

I look at pullbacks in gold prices as an opportunity to buy quality gold stocks at bargain prices. Many quality gold-producing stocks have been depressed by the recent weakness in gold bullion prices and thus present prices we haven’t seen in months.

As oil prices fell over the past week from their ridiculous high, the American dollar strengthened against other world currencies and this event sent the price of gold bullion lower. There is no escaping the fiscal issues facing the American economy today, as the budget deficit for 2009 will likely be a new record. The more debt the U.S. economy piles on, the less viable the U.S. dollar is in the eyes of foreigners, and hence the stronger the price of gold bullion.

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Profit Confidential AuthorMichael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on Twitter

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