The Inverted Yield Curve Few Are Talking About
Monday, February 13th, 2006
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
I’ll be short and to the point today:
There’s a phenomenon occurring in the investment marketplace today that few reporters and analysts are freely talking about. I’m referring to the presently existing inverted yield cure.
An inverted yield curve occurs when investors can get better returns on two-year U.S. Treasuries than they can get on 10-year U.S. Treasuries. Over the past quarter-century, whenever there has been an inverted yield curve, a recession followed in all but one occurrence.
INVESTOR ALERT– As I write this column this morning, a two- year U.S. Treasury is yielding 4.67 percent, a 10-year U.S. Treasury is yielding 4.58 percent, and a 30-year U.S. Treasury is yielding 4.57 percent. Yes, investors can get a better return on their money buying a short-term U.S. bond as opposed to a long- term U.S. bond.
I’ll keep you posted on just how inverted the yield curve gets over the next few days and weeks. The more the yield curve inverts, the more I believe we’re headed for tough economic times and, yes, a possible recession.
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Tags: U.S. bonds, U.S. Treasuries
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Michael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on Twitter




