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Market Stalling? An Investment Strategy to Help You Get Through It

Wednesday, September 1st, 2010
By George Leong, B.Comm. for Profit Confidential

As an investor and trader, what you can do when you feel the market may be set to take a pause and stall is to write some covered calls on your long positions. This appears to be the case at this juncture.

Covered call writing (also called Buy-Write) means you hold an underlying position in the stock represented by the call option. It is much less risky compared to naked call writing, in which you do not have an underlying position in the stock. Be aware of this distinction, as it will save you lots of stress and potential unnecessary losses in the long run.

Let’s take a look at Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ/CSCO) and assume that you own 1,000 shares at a cost base of $15.00 per share. You are already up just over $5.50 a share based on the prevailing price of $20.50.

You continue to be bullish on Cisco, but at the same time feel that the stock may continue to pause given its failure to move higher and its retrenchment back to just above its 52-week low of $20.36. There are several strategies at your disposal. You can sit on the position and wait for the stock to rise. The problem is that this is an inefficient use of capital in my view.

So, why not make your capital work for you? It’s much easier than you think and represents a win-win situation. The process involves writing covered calls on your holding of 1,000 shares of Cisco. For every board lot (100 shares) of Cisco, for example, one call option may be written.

Covered call writing is a straightforward, low-risk generator of premium income, and it guarantees a selling price for the stock. Don’t write a covered call if you do not wish to lose the stock due to a possible exercise from the call holder.

Let’s say you are mid-term neutral on Cisco and believe that the stock may have limited upside potential prior to January 2011. What’s the next step? Given this, you could generate some premium income by writing calls on your 1,000 shares of Cisco. By writing the calls, you in turn are obligated legally to deliver your 1,000 shares of Cisco at the predetermined strike price if exercised and if assigned to you.

Here are the mechanics. You own 1,000 shares of Cisco and decide to write 10 OTM (Out of the Money) Cisco January $24.00 Call option contracts (OTM since strike price is greater than market price) at $51.00 per contract, or $510.00 for the 10 contracts. This is the risk premium you get for assuming the risk and is yours to keep whether the call options are exercised or not.

The strike price selected in call writing should be what you feel comfortable selling the stock at if it were to be exercised. If the strike price were to be set too low, it would have a higher probability of being exercised and you could lose your shares, perhaps at a lower price than you would want. Be careful about this. Conversely, setting a lower strike price translates into higher premiums for you. The decision ultimately depends on your view of the market.

The bottom line is that you need to be comfortable selling your shares, which in this case is at the strike price of $24.00. If this happens, you would make $9.00 on the stock, plus $0.51 for the premium, for a return of $9.51 on the base cost of $15.00. The return would be over 60%. The downside of course is that you lose the stock, especially if it advances higher above $30.00.

Each situation is different, so be careful when doing covered call writing.

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George is a Senior Editor at Lombardi Financial, and has been involved in analyzing the stock markets for two decades where he employs both fundamental and technical analysis. His overall market timing and trading knowledge is extensive in the areas of small-cap research and option trading. George is the editor of several of Lombardi’s popular financial newsletters, including The China Letter, Special Situations, and Obscene Profits, among others. His trading advice on stocks and options is also found on his daily trading site, Daily Profits. He has written technical and fundamental columns for numerous stock market news web sites, and he is the author of Quick Wealth Options Strategy and Mastering 7 Proven Options Strategies. Prior to starting with Lombardi Financial, George was employed as a financial analyst with Globe Information Services.








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