A Housing Catastrophe Waiting to Happen
Wednesday, August 2nd, 2006
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
I’m getting very worried about the state of the U.S. housing market and its ramifications on the economy. The problems in the housing market continue to get deeper:
— New home builders are now offering more incentives to buyers than at any other time in the past seven years. According to the National Association of Home Builders, 75% of U.S. home builders now offer some form of incentive to attract buyers, up from 50% last year at this time.
— The U.S. Commerce department reported last week that new home sales fell 3% from May to June.
— The number of new homes up for sale has risen 25% from last year.
— In the U.S., the supply of unsold used homes is at 6.3 months while new home inventory is at 6.1 months supply–both near eight year highs.
The stock prices of the major U.S. home builders continue to plummet, down almost 50% in the past 12 months. Stock prices don’t collapse without a reason–the market is telling us something about the U.S. housing market and the news is very bad.
Homebuilders are offering all kinds of incentives to lure home buyers, because if they drop prices instead, the message past home buyers in the same communities get could be very negative.
The U.S. could be heading for the first outright annual decline in home prices on record, unadjusted for inflation. And I really believe this could be a catastrophe for the U.S. economy. I’m urging my readers to think smart and prudent during this changing economic environment.
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Michael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on Twitter



