Partying Like a Drunken Sailor
Wednesday, February 7th, 2007
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
The party continues, dear reader. Stocks are making new highs, and people are spending like there is no tomorrow. Why? I really don’t know.
It seems as though the real estate market is the only place not having fun anymore… No, the real estate agents and brokers are not celebrating these days, at least not in the United States. All those tens of thousands of people who became real estate agents in the U.S. in 2005 will likely be changing careers soon, if they haven’t already.
But big stocks, they just continue going up. Wall Street bonuses are at record levels. Popular consumer goods? They are flying off the shelves. As soon as Apple comes out with a new iPod, a generation (or two) runs out to buy the latest version of the gadget. Designer clothes, fast and expensive cars, restaurants with one hour waits… people are spending in America today at an unbelievable clip.
1932, 1993… who remembers those years? Back then, the unemployment rate was 25%. The depression of the 1930s was the biggest bust of modern history. 2005, 2006… welcome to the biggest boom of same period.
But the depression shares one very important characteristic with the boom of today: A negative personal savings rate. The U.S. personal savings rate for 2006 was negative one percent — the worst it’s been in 73 years. And you guessed it: The last time we hit a negative personal savings rate was at the onset of the Great Depression.
Americans today are spending all the money they make, after taxes, and then they are either borrowing or dipping into their savings to spend more. You could say they are partying like drunken sailors once did.
When will it all end? When will the party-goers realize they need to retire soon and will need money to live during retirement? Soon, my dear reader. Soon. With almost one hundred million baby boomers getting ready to retire soon, reality is not far behind.
Next Post: A Technical Look at Oil Warns of Transportation WeaknessPrevious Post: The Tide is Set to Change for Large-Cap Stocks
Tags: interest rates, real estate market, stock analysis, stock market
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Michael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on Twitter




