Lombardi: Expert Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis Since 1986
Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis

Welcome to Profit Confidential • Thursday, May 24, 2012

The Last Place Investors Want to Be Today

Thursday, March 8th, 2007
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential

Is it just me, or do I see negative news about the economy everywhere I look? Here’s just a sampling of the news reported over the past couple of days:

– General Motors Corp. says it may take a charge of up to $1 billion to cover mortgages made by its home-lending unit as loans go bad. The news isn’t good for GM, which has already lost about $13 billion over the past two years.

– The U.S. Commerce Department reports U.S. factory orders fell 5.6% in February, representing the steepest drop in six years. Businesses are not spending.

– The Federal Reserve reports the delinquency rate on banks’ residential real estate loans jumped in the last quarter to the highest level since 2002. People are simply having a harder time making their payments.

Negative economic news is being churned out at an alarming rate. And last week’s market meltdown was a strong reality check for Wall Street and Bay Street: Yes, the brokers themselves might be the next casualty of the quickly eroding U.S. economy.

As prudent investors, we need to face the facts: The people selling stocks want the markets rising, not falling. While most brokers were quick last week to tell their clients that we were due for a stock market correction, I have yet to see a broker tell the truth: The housing and lending market is under immense pressure; the U.S. economy is going down the drain quickly; and big-cap and regular blue-chip stocks are the last place you want to be today.

Unfortunately, brokers don’t make money if they tell their clients the stock market is a bad place to invest their money right now. The “unfortunate” part is for us investors, not the brokers. In my opinion, we have already entered the contraction period of this economic cycle. The economic environment around us will only get worse; the general stock market will decline.

Whom do I feel the most sorry for? The three million Americans with poor ratings that bought homes over the past couple of years with adjustable mortgages (also known as ARMs).

ARMs readjusting to higher interest rate levels coupled with tighter lending requirements equals: Not a good situation for the millions of Americans who were swayed into buying homes with little or no money down. In fact, it’s a situation destined to only get worse.

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Profit Confidential AuthorMichael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on Twitter

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