U.S. Housing Market Landing Harder Than Expected… How Can It Not Affect the Economy
Monday, May 21st, 2007
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
How can a reputable economist say the worsening housing market will not affect the economy? Well, that’s the view I’m reading more and more in the business pages these days.
You be the judge. What follows are recent reports on the U.S. housing market. Do you honestly think this kind of trouble in the housing market won’t affect the economy?
– Prices for resale homes dropped 1.8% in the first quarter of 2007 compared to the same period of 2006 — the third quarter in a row prices for resale homes have fallen.
– Existing home sales fell 8.4% in March from February — the biggest month-to-month decline in 18 years.
– U.S. home foreclosure filings skyrocketed 60% in April from April 2006.
– Applications for building permits fell in April by the biggest amount in 17 years.
Combine the above with the fact Bloomberg reports at least 50 mortgage companies (mostly subprime lenders) are out of business, and we see a huge problem in the housing market. New homebuilders are the most pessimistic they’ve ever been.
First, the economists (mostly the Wall Street type) and the Fed told us housing would come in for a soft landing. Well, it didn’t. Housing came in for a hard landing, like it always does after a boom. Now, they are telling us the housing market won’t affect the economy. Should we believe them this time? I don’t.
NEWSFLASH — Home Depot reports a 30% decline in first quarter earnings. The company blamed the poor housing market. Home Depot’s CEO was quoted as saying “we believe the home- improvement market will remain soft throughout 2007.” Someone should tell him next year won’t be any better.
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Michael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on Twitter



