What’s Really Happening in the Housing Market
Wednesday, February 15th, 2006
By Michael Lombardi, MBA for Profit Confidential
It’s ironic that when housing prices were rising rapidly, this news was all over the media. Magazines, newspapers, and the Internet were chalk full of positive articles on the housing market. Where are all the reporters now that the real estate market is going the other way?
Here, my dear reader, is what’s really happening in the housing market:
— Giant U.S. new-home builder, KB Home, reported a big drop in its home order cancellations and a drop in orders over the past two months.
— Toll Brothers, likely the biggest U.S. luxury home builder, said orders for its new homes dropped 29% in the company’s fiscal quarter ended January 31, 2006.
— Stocks in the Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction Index are getting a literal pounding–down 16% in only thirty days.
— The U.S. Census Bureau reported the median sale price for a new home fell 3 percent in December, 2005 from December, 2004.
It’s so typical to me that the media is not picking up on this bout of extremely bad news for the housing market. There’s no doubt that the Fed’s interest rate increases are starting to choke the housing market. And, I’m really worried the housing market could end up being another tech bubble.
I’d think twice about buying a home in this soon to be “buyers” market, because I simply believe the real bargains in the real estate market lay ahead. But, the bad news is for the economy:
The housing market was really the last leg holding this economy up. Right now, the housing market looks like it could be unraveling, and when it finally does, the economy will unravel with it causing pain for those consumers that have overextended their borrowing.
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Tags: Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction, new home builder stocks, U.S. real estate market
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Michael bought his first stock when he was 17 years old. He quickly saw $2,000 of savings from summer jobs turn into $1,000. Determined not to lose money again on a stock, Michael started researching the market intensely, reading every book he could find on the topic and taking every course he could afford. It didn’t take long for Michael to start making money with stocks, and that led Michael to launch a newsletter on the stock market. Today, Michael only employs the top market analysts and editors. Some of our recommendations have posted gains in excess of 500%! Michael has authored and published over one thousand articles on investment and money management. Along the way to building Lombardi Publishing Corporation, now with over one million customers in 141 countries, Michael became an active investor in real estate, art, precious metals and various businesses. Readers of the daily Profit Confidential e-letter are offered the benefit of the expertise Michael has gained in these sectors. Michael believes in successful stock picking as an important wealth accumulation tool. Married with two children, Michael received his Chartered Financial Planner designation from the Financial Planners Standards Council of Canada and his MBA from the Graduate Business School, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland.Follow Michael and the latest from Profit Confidential on Twitter



