Recession

An economic slowdown is a contraction in the economy. This can be viewed by using several indicators, including lower gross domestic product (GDP), higher unemployment, lower industrial production, lower business investment, a decline in retail sales, and a decrease in corporate profits. Not all of these factors need to be declining for an economic slowdown, but these are some of the main indications to watch for regarding the overall health of the economy. Some consider a recession to be occurring when there are two consecutive down quarters of gross domestic product (GDP). According to the National Bureau of Economic Research, a recession is “a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real money, employment, industrial production and wholesale retail sales.”


Despite a volatile stock market, weak fourth-quarter results, tepid gross domestic product (GDP) growth, and weak global economy, some say it’s hard to find proof the U.S. is headed into a recession. If so, perhaps it’s time to broaden the…

It looks like the U.S. economy is already in a recession, according to these indicators. The Institute of Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) has been below 50 since October of 2015. Any reading on the PMI below 50…

Recession Has Arrived in Four U.S. States The U.S. Federal Reserve is contemplating another rate hike, citing improving economic indicators. However, the reality is quite the opposite. There are signs that suggest that we might be in for another U.S.…

The stock market may not be 100% accurate when it comes to predicting a recession. After all, the markets go through predictable cycles. That said, the markets always tank when there is a recession. The big question is: are we…

Jim Rogers: Everyone Will Suffer Jim Rogers, the legendary billionaire investor and chairman of Rogers Holdings, says the global economy is about to get pounded into a recession and, as usual, the average person will be the one who suffers.…

The U.S. economy saw some good news last Friday. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that the unemployment rate dipped to 4.9%—the first time the rate has dropped below five percent since February 2008. U.S. wages also picked up as…

Global Economy on Verge of Recession: Analyst Global financial markets are caught in a slippery death spiral. They will cause a global recession that will spare nobody, say Citigroup analysts. (Source: “Citi: World economy trapped in ‘death spiral’,” CNBC, February…

Here in late 2015, almost each passing day, we get data suggesting the U.S. economy is headed towards a recession in 2016. Of biggest concern is consumer consumption, also known as consumer spending, which makes up two-thirds of U.S. gross…

For 2016, a recession is becoming a more likely scenario than economic growth, confirmed by two leading indicators and these charts. Consumer Spending in U.S. Economy Slumps Consumer spending in the U.S. economy is in a downward spiral. Major retailers…