Lombardi: Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis Since 1986

Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the application of a method or set of criteria to evaluate a company’s stock. This analysis can fall into several areas; more broadly this encompasses fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and quantitative analysis. Fundamental analysis covers the research of a company’s financial statements, its management, the marketplace, the firm’s competitors, and forecasts for the future of the business. Technical analysis is the study of a stock’s chart. Someone using technical analysis wouldn’t look at the income statement, but would spend their time looking at the chart and indicators, such as volume, moving averages, and past market moves to forecast future stock moves. Quantitative analysis is when a computer is programmed to look for patterns using mathematics. Some examples of quantitative analysis can be found in statistical arbitrage or algorithmic trading.

Coffee Wars Intensify on Stock Market as Coffee Prices Rise

By for Profit Confidential

Top Three Stocks to Profit as Coffee Prices RiseIf you cannot get through the day without that cup of coffee, you may need to prepare to spend a little more to get it.

Coffee prices have been surging, up more than 30% year-over-year. The cost to have that morning cup of java has edged higher, but not at the same rate as the cash price of coffee.

The coffee industry is a multibillion-dollar industry in the United States and is a competitive marketplace, but at the top of the coffee heap is Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ/SBUX), which has developed into an iconic brand both domestically and worldwide. In Asia, Europe, and Latin America, no matter where you are, it seems there’s a Starbucks near you. In China, the brand is rapidly growing, and the company plans to expand in this region with thousands of outlets.

Starbucks has also expanded into providing more menu alternatives and is involved in the tea market via its acquisition of the Teavana chain. The company is also marketing juices and operates a small chain of hamburger outlets in California.

For long-term investors, you cannot go wrong with Starbucks, which could serve as a good core holding in your portfolio.

 Starbucks Corp Chart

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

However, in the traditional coffee and donut market, the top player at this time is the “Dunkin Donuts” chain, operated by Dunkin Brands Group, Inc. (NASDAQ/DNKN). The company also operates the “Baskin-Robbins” ice cream chain. Unlike Starbucks, Dunkin is primarily a U.S. brand that doesn’t have much recognition outside American borders; albeit, the company is looking to expand to the United Kingdom via the planned opening of 50 outlets in Greater … Read More

My Top Stocks in the Mobile Gaming Sector

By for Profit Confidential

Why I Believe There Are Better Mobile Gaming Investments Than King Digital If you have ever played the Candy Crush Saga game on your mobile device, you’d realize that the game, along with others like Flappy Birds, are merely a mobile phenomenon that could easily fade away over time once the addiction washes away, based on my stock analysis.

Yet for King Digital Entertainment plc (NYSE/KING), the maker of Candy Crush Saga, the company is clearly jumping with glee that it’s valued at more than $6.0 billion. The stock debuted with its initial public offering (IPO) on Wednesday priced at $22.50 per share, but it quickly fell to $19.17 after the open.

Make no mistake about it: my stock analysis is that King Digital is not worth $6.0 billion—or even half of that. The company generates about three-quarters of its revenues via the Candy Crush game. There are other games, but none have taken off to the degree Candy Crush has. While King Digital says it will look hard at developing another major game, there’s no guarantee that this will happen before interest in Candy Crush fades, based on my stock analysis.

What I suggest you do is look at more established developers of mobile games and applications that are much cheaper and not pumped up like King Digital, as my stock analysis suggests.

Based out of San Francisco, Glu Mobile Inc. (NASDAQ/GLUU) is an interesting small-cap gaming play that holds promise in the growing area of mobile gaming on smartphones and tablets, as my stock analysis indicates. Spending on mobile applications is estimated at around $56.0 billion by 2016, according to Forrester Research. With a market cap of … Read More

My Top Stock Pick in the Innovative Alternative Energy Sector

By for Profit Confidential

This Alternative Energy Company Has Great UpsideThe price action and euphoria towards battery-powered carmaker Tesla Motors, Inc. (NASDAQ/TSLA) clearly shows the demand for innovative companies that deliver a great story, as my stock analysis suggests.

Investors want to see less demand for energy produced by fossil fuels and more demand for the green energy movement, whether its wind, water, solar, or another form of green energy, according to my stock analysis.

A small company that I have been following for a while in the alternative energy space is FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ/FCEL), which has a market cap of $421 million.

My stock analysis indicates that the company is very innovative, which is what we want to see in high-potential stocks.

FuelCell Energy, Inc. Chart

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

FuelCell provides alternative fuel cell solutions via its stationary “Direct FuelCell” power plants that are built to deliver ultra-clean, efficient, and reliable green power. The process involves harnessing the use of renewable biogas from wastewater treatment and food processing.

As my stock analysis indicates, the company’s clients include commercial, industrial, government, and utility companies. Sectors served include the food and beverage, manufacturing, hospital and prison, college and university, hospitality, utilities, and wastewater treatment areas.

According to the company, the energy produced is up to two times as efficient as fossil fuel plants. The plants range from smaller 300-kilowatt to larger 2.8-megawatt plants, and they are expandable to above 50 megawatts. FuelCell said the power plants it has built have generated more than 300 million kilowatt hours (kWh) of electricity in more than 50 installations worldwide.

A major and growing market for FuelCell is in Southeast Asia, specifically in South Korea. The company … Read More

Could Thousand-Dollar Stock Be a Bargain?

By for Profit Confidential

What Makes a High-Priced Stock a BargainGoogle Inc. (NASDAQ/GOOG) is showing why I think it’s one of the top technology growth plays at this time…and going forward.

No longer simply a web site and online advertising marketing company, Google has been spreading its wings into software and hardware, as it moves to the next level as a company, based on my stock analysis.

The stock may be trading above $1,100, but my stock analysis indicates that in the years ahead, Google may be one of those high-priced stocks that you may look back on as a bargain at $1,100. (See “When High-Priced Stocks Become Attractive Investment Opportunities…”)

No one seems to care that the shares of Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. (NYSE/BRK-A) trade above $169,000 a share, so what’s the big deal with Google at $1,100?

What I continue to like about Google is its constant tinkering of its strategy and business operations.

Google developed a self-driving car that has already driven itself some 300,000 miles or so and has only been in one accident—which Google claims occurred while the self-driving vehicle was being manually driven. Can you imagine self-driving cars on the streets of New York City or the crazy highways of Beijing? The company is all about innovation, based on my stock analysis.

Considering buying Google, according to my stock analysis, is akin to buying a technology-based private equity fund due to its constantly being on the lookout for innovative technologies and spreading out its technological patents.

In 2012, Google acquired the handset unit of Motorola for $12.5 billion; but after watching how competitive the smartphone market is, Google made the decision to … Read More

Reinvention of Hewlett-Packard Bound to Be a Success Story?

By for Profit Confidential

stock analysisA year ago, Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE/HPQ) was an $11.00 stock that was struggling to turn around its fortunes and become relevant again.

The company, under then-new CEO Meg Whitman, made a bold and strategic decision to focus less on its declining personal computer (PC) business and more on its areas showing growth opportunities, such as its mobile and enterprise businesses. So far, this has been the correct decision for Hewlett-Packard, according to my stock analysis.

The company had already exited the consumer tablet market after realizing Apple Inc. (NASDAQ/AAPL) had a death-grip on the market and would not be easy to catch.

Fast-forward a year, and Hewlett-Packard is now flying high at the $24.00 level, up more than 100% over the past year and still the company continues to reinvent itself, as my stock analysis indicates. Hewlett-Packard has streamlined its product line, resulting in a leaner and more efficient technology company, suggesting Hewlett-Packard was a buying opportunity at its lower prices just one year ago.

Hewlett-Packard Company Chart

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

My stock analysis suggests that while the company still has far to go to return to its former glory days, there is now hope that this could happen—it just might take a few more years of fine-tuning.

Annual revenues are in excess of $100 billion, but a period of adjustment is expected due to the company’s new direction, according to my stock analysis.

Revenues are estimated to contract in both fiscal 2014 and fiscal 2015 by 2.9% and 0.6%, respectively, but earnings are estimated to grow to $3.67 and $3.88 per diluted share, respectively, according to Thomson Financial consensus estimates…. Read More

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The Great Crash of 2014

A stock market crash bigger than what happened in 2008 and early 2009 is headed our way.

In fact, we are predicting this crash will be even more devastating than the 1929 crash…

…the ramifications of which will hit the economy and Americans deeper than anything we’ve ever seen.

Our 27-year-old research firm feels so strongly about this, we’ve just produced a video to warn investors called, “The Great Crash of 2014.”

In case you are not familiar with our research work on the stock market:

In late 2001, in the aftermath of 9/11, we told our clients to buy small-cap stocks. They rose about 100% after we made that call.

We were one of the first major advisors to turn bullish on gold.

Throughout 2002, we urged our readers to buy gold stocks; many of which doubled and even tripled in price.

In November of 2007, we started begging our customers to get out of the stock market. Shortly afterwards, it was widely recognized that October 2007 was the top for stocks.

We correctly predicted the crash in the stock market of 2008 and early 2009.

And in March of 2009, we started telling our readers to jump into small caps. The Russell 2000 gained about 175% from when we made that call in 2009 to today.

Many investors will find our next prediction hard to believe until they see all the proof we have to back it up.

Even if you don’t own stocks, what’s about to happen will affect you!

I urge you to be among the first to get our next major prediction.
See it here now in this just-released alarming video.

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