Stock Market Prediction

Stock Market Prediction for 2015

Lombardi Publishing Corporation was established in 1986 as an investment newsletter providing stock market analysis to its readers. Today, we publish 26 paid-for investment letters, most of which provide stock market direction and individual stock picking analysis.

In 2001, Michael Lombardi started his famous daily economic newsletter Profit Confidential. Written by Lombardi Financial editors who have been offering stock market guidance for years to Lombardi customers, Profit Confidential provides a macro-picture on where the stock market is headed, what sectors are hot, and which sectors to avoid.

Over the years, Michael’s financial commentary and the accuracy of his economic predictions have garnered him global attention, and the confidence of over one million investors in more than 140 countries.

Michael Lombardi has been widely recognized as predicting five major economic events over the past 10 years.

1)      In 2002, he famously told readers to get into gold

2)      Told them to get out of the housing market in 2006

3)      Predicted the recession of late 2007

4)      Warned readers to get out of stocks in the fall of 2007

5)      Advised readers to get back into stocks in March 2009

In 2002, Michael’s Profit Confidential famously advised readers to buy gold-related investments when gold bullion traded under $300.00 an ounce. “I’ve been pushing gold bullion and gold shares for over a year now. Back in January 2002, I personally started buying gold shares.” (As published in Profit Confidential, December 13, 2002.)

In 2006, Profit Confidential “begged” its readers to get out of the housing market years before it plunged. Michael started warnings abut the coming U.S. housing crisis right at the peak of the boom. On August 2, 2006 Michael Lombardi predicted, “I’m getting very worried about the state of the U.S. housing market and its ramifications on the economy. The U.S. could be headed for its first annual decline in home prices on record, adjusted for inflation. And, I really believe this could be a catastrophe for the U.S. economy.”

Michael was also one of the first to predict the U.S. economy would be in a recession by late 2007. On March 22, 2007, he warned, “Over the past few weeks, I’ve written about subprime lenders and how their demise will hurt the U.S. housing market, the economy, and the stock market. There’s no escaping the carnage headed our way because the housing market and subprime business are falling apart. The worst of our problems, because of the easy money made available to borrowers, which fuelled the housing boom that peaked in 2005, has yet to arrive.”

At the same time Michael wrote this, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan was quoted as saying, “The worst is over for the U.S. housing market, and there will be no economic spillover effects from the poor housing market.”

Michael Lombardi also warned his readers in advance of the crash in the stock market of 2008. On November 29, 2007, Michael Lombardi predicted, “The Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500, and the other major stock market indices finished yesterday with the best two-day showing since 2002. I’m looking at the market really of the past two days as a classic stock market bear trap. As the economy gets closer to contraction, 2008 will likely be a most challenging economic year for America.”

The Dow Jones peaked at 14,279 in October, 2007. A “sucker’s rally” developed in November 2007, which Michael quickly classified as a bear trap for his readers. One year later, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was at 8,726.

And, Profit Confidential turned bullish on stocks in March of 2009, and rode the bear market rally from a Dow Jones Industrial Average of 6,440 on March 9, 2009.

Japan Slides Into Recession Again; U.S. Next?

By Friday, November 21, 2014

Japan Slides Into Recession Again; U.S. NextIn the third quarter of 2014, the Japanese economy, the third biggest in the world, fell back into a recession. The country’s gross domestic product (GDP), quarter-over-quarter, declined 0.4% in the third quarter after it declined 1.9% in the second quarter of 2014. The annual GDP growth rate for the Japanese economy now stands at … Read More

Bull Market to Continue on Near-Term Price Strength

By Friday, November 21, 2014

Bull Market to Continue on Near-Term Price StrengthThere is plenty of price strength in this bull market. It’s still coming from transportation stocks and dividend-paying blue chips.

There’s also been continued price strength among home improvement retailers. Lowes Companies, Inc. (LOW) recently soared on the stock market after beating Wall Street consensus with its lates… Read More

NASDAQ 5,000 Just Around the Corner

By Friday, November 21, 2014

NASDAQ Index to Hit 5000Thinking back to early 2000, I thought the NASDAQ stock market would eventually trade at 5,000, but I wasn’t sure about how long it would take. Well, now it looks like the answer at the time would have been around 15 years.

After a decent run this year, the NASDAQ stock market is trading within 300 points, or 6.2%, of the magical 5,000-po… Read More

Microsoft Expecting Its Strongest Quarter

By Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Microsoft Expecting Its Strongest QuarterOne company that is consistently seeing its earnings estimates tick higher is Microsoft Corporation (MSFT). The stock has basically doubled since the stock market breakout at the beginning of 2013, and the company has been increasing its dividends significantly.

Microsoft’s current quarterly dividend, payable in early Dece… Read More

Two Major Concerns About Overvalued Stock Market Prices

By Monday, November 17, 2014

Stock Market 60 OvervaluedThe amount of money investors are borrowing to buy stocks is skyrocketing.

In September of this year, margin debt on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) stood at $483.87 billion—a new record-high. When the stock market was forming a top in 2007, margin debt was at a “then” record-high of $329.51 billion. Margin debt on the NYSE is … Read More