Lombardi: Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis Since 1986

Investors Down-Shift Risk, Search for Safety Ongoing Theme for 2013

Wednesday, April 10th, 2013
By for Profit Confidential

Search for Safety Ongoing Theme for 2013If the first-quarter earnings season turns out to be as bad as the experts expect, then it may be time to look for safety. That means lightening up the load on high-risk stocks and shifting your focus to companies that you know will be around 50 years from now.

The search for safety appears to be the ongoing theme this year, especially within the blue chip stocks that make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The index is up 11.2%, ahead of the broader S&P 500, along with the NASDAQ and Russell 2000.

Small-cap stocks, which have been sizzling on the chart, have been underperforming in the recent weeks, as investors shift to the safety of blue chips and large-cap stocks.

The chart below shows the recent superior performance of the Dow Jones versus the NASDAQ, shown by the blue line, and the Russell 2000, the green line.

$INDU Dow Jones Industrial Average stock chart

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

After the first week of April, blue chips have fared the best, down just 0.09% as of April 5, which is much better than the decline of 2.94% and 1.96%, respectively, in the Russell 2000 and NASDAQ. As the market risk rises—and I feel it is—I expect to see more money flow from higher-risk investments to lower-risk ventures, such as the blue chips.

The move to Dow blue chips is even more popular, given the dividends available on many of these stocks, which is attractive compared to historically low yields available with bonds.

When you are earning less than one percent on short-term bonds, the choice to look at dividend stocks and the equities market is easy.

  • Even as the market tanks...

    100% Profit in Your Pocket Every 14 Days or Less with This Never-Ending Winning Streak

    Any stocks in your portfolio make you 100% or more this year? Let me tell you about 25 of them! In 2013, 25 of our positions reached gains in excess of 100% each. Average profit per pick at their high was 215.6%!

    Our 100% Letter could still make you more money in 2014 than ever before! Learn about it here.

The average dividend yield for the 30 Dow blue chips currently sits near 2.82%. The top-five dividend yields at this juncture belong to AT&T Inc. (NYSE/T), Intel Corporation (NASDAQ/INTC), Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE/VZ), Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE/MRK), and Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ/MSFT). Now, I wouldn’t suggest dumping your capital into these stocks, as the higher yields may have to do more with the company’s prospects and resulting low share price than with the quality of the company.

Instead, I suggest you stick with the proven blue chip winners on the Dow Jones, which have shown their worth o to shareholders over the past decades and can help to shelter you during the bad times.

These companies are generally the “Best of Breed” stocks within their sectors.

Other top blue chips include: The Boeing Company (NYSE/BA), General Electric Company (NYSE/GE), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE/JNJ), The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE/KO), The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE/PG), Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE/WMT), Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE/XOM), and McDonalds Corporation (NYSE/MCD). (Read “The Secret to Success in the Fast Food Sector.”)

These blue chips have fared well and will continue to do so going forward, having proven themselves to be the heart and soul of America’s economy.

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 9.0/10 (1 vote cast)
VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
Investors Down-Shift Risk, Search for Safety Ongoing Theme for 2013, 9.0 out of 10 based on 1 rating

This is an entirely free service. No credit card required.

We hate spam as much as you do.
Check out our privacy policy.

George Leong - Financial Planner, ConsultantGeorge Leong, B. Comm. is a Senior Editor at Lombardi Financial, and has been involved in analyzing the stock markets for two decades where he employs both fundamental and technical analysis. His overall market timing and trading knowledge is extensive in the areas of small-cap research and option trading. George is the editor of several of Lombardi’s popular financial newsletters, including The China Letter, Special Situations, and Obscene Profits, among others. He has written technical and fundamental columns for numerous stock market news web sites, and he is the author of Quick Wealth Options Strategy and Mastering 7 Proven Options Strategies. Prior to starting with Lombardi Financial, George was employed as a financial analyst with Globe Information Services. Add George Leong to your Google+ circles