Stock Market Prediction

Stock Market Prediction for 2015

Lombardi Publishing Corporation was established in 1986 as an investment newsletter providing stock market analysis to its readers. Today, we publish 26 paid-for investment letters, most of which provide stock market direction and individual stock picking analysis.

In 2001, Michael Lombardi started his famous daily economic newsletter Profit Confidential. Written by Lombardi Financial editors who have been offering stock market guidance for years to Lombardi customers, Profit Confidential provides a macro-picture on where the stock market is headed, what sectors are hot, and which sectors to avoid.

Over the years, Michael’s financial commentary and the accuracy of his economic predictions have garnered him global attention, and the confidence of over one million investors in more than 140 countries.

Michael Lombardi has been widely recognized as predicting five major economic events over the past 10 years.

1)      In 2002, he famously told readers to get into gold

2)      Told them to get out of the housing market in 2006

3)      Predicted the recession of late 2007

4)      Warned readers to get out of stocks in the fall of 2007

5)      Advised readers to get back into stocks in March 2009

In 2002, Michael’s Profit Confidential famously advised readers to buy gold-related investments when gold bullion traded under $300.00 an ounce. “I’ve been pushing gold bullion and gold shares for over a year now. Back in January 2002, I personally started buying gold shares.” (As published in Profit Confidential, December 13, 2002.)

In 2006, Profit Confidential “begged” its readers to get out of the housing market years before it plunged. Michael started warnings abut the coming U.S. housing crisis right at the peak of the boom. On August 2, 2006 Michael Lombardi predicted, “I’m getting very worried about the state of the U.S. housing market and its ramifications on the economy. The U.S. could be headed for its first annual decline in home prices on record, adjusted for inflation. And, I really believe this could be a catastrophe for the U.S. economy.”

Michael was also one of the first to predict the U.S. economy would be in a recession by late 2007. On March 22, 2007, he warned, “Over the past few weeks, I’ve written about subprime lenders and how their demise will hurt the U.S. housing market, the economy, and the stock market. There’s no escaping the carnage headed our way because the housing market and subprime business are falling apart. The worst of our problems, because of the easy money made available to borrowers, which fuelled the housing boom that peaked in 2005, has yet to arrive.”

At the same time Michael wrote this, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan was quoted as saying, “The worst is over for the U.S. housing market, and there will be no economic spillover effects from the poor housing market.”

Michael Lombardi also warned his readers in advance of the crash in the stock market of 2008. On November 29, 2007, Michael Lombardi predicted, “The Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500, and the other major stock market indices finished yesterday with the best two-day showing since 2002. I’m looking at the market really of the past two days as a classic stock market bear trap. As the economy gets closer to contraction, 2008 will likely be a most challenging economic year for America.”

The Dow Jones peaked at 14,279 in October, 2007. A “sucker’s rally” developed in November 2007, which Michael quickly classified as a bear trap for his readers. One year later, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was at 8,726.

And, Profit Confidential turned bullish on stocks in March of 2009, and rode the bear market rally from a Dow Jones Industrial Average of 6,440 on March 9, 2009.

Collapse in Trading Volume Makes Stock Price Rise Suspicious

By Wednesday, January 21, 2015

Crashing Stock MarketOne of the fundamentals of economics is that rising demand for an item pushes prices higher, while declining demand results in lower prices. It’s common sense: the more people want something, the higher the price; the less people want something, the lower the price.
That is what has me very suspicious about the stock market. Since 200… Read More

4Q14 Earnings Suggest Consolidation to Continue Throughout 2015

By Wednesday, January 21, 2015

Current Stock Market ConsolidationWhile the stock market’s trading action has been pretty subdued, even in the face of fourth-quarter earnings, the market’s actually been in consolidation since last September. It’s a near-term trend that I think will continue into 2015.
4Q14 Earnings Action
While we’re still in the early days of the fourth-quarter 2014 re… Read More

How Pinterest Is Making Money and Why Facebook Should Be Scared

By Tuesday, January 20, 2015

How Pinterest Makes MoneyPinterest: How This Hot Potential IPO Is Making Money
Frankly, I don’t know any men who have a Pinterest account, but I know a lot of women who do. And that’s one reason Pinterest makes money. It has the perfect demographic for advertisers, and now that it’s making money, Pinterest could be one of the more interesting initial publ… Read More

Revenue Growth at S&P 500 Companies Collapses 68%

By Monday, January 19, 2015

Revenue Growth at S&P 500While public companies can manipulate their per-share earnings with stock buyback programs and other tricks (like reducing their capital expenditure budgets), there is little companies can do to mask revenue growth.
For the fourth quarter of 2014, S&P 500 companies are expected to report a pathetic revenue growth of 1.1%—… Read More

CSX, Railroad Stocks Report Decent 4Q14 Growth; More to Come

By Friday, January 16, 2015

Railroad Stocks ReportRailroad stocks are always good barometers on overall business conditions and the economy. Keeping up with railroads is equally as useful as following the Dow Jones Transportation Average for stock market direction. And for the most part, the major railroad companies have been excellent investments over the last few years, with o… Read More

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