central banks

Top 10 Countries with the Highest Gold Reserves

By Tuesday, December 9, 2014

Highest Gold Reserves

Top Countries with the Largest Gold Reserves

Is Gold Bullion at a Crossroads?

Gold has had a remarkable run since it started its nascent rise in early 2001, climbing more than 650% between April 2001 and September 2011. Since then, gold prices have either taken a breather or are preparing for another upswing. Based on the gold purchases made by central banks over the last three years, it appears as … Read More

About the 40% Collapse in the Use of the Dollar

By Monday, December 8, 2014

U.S. Dollar at Accelerated PaceSince July of this year, the U.S. dollar is up about 10% against a basket of other industrialized world currencies. Some say the dollar is up because the Federal Reserve has stopped printing paper money (while other countries are still printing) and because the Fed has said it will raise interest rates in 2015 (while other countries are still lowering their rates).

To me, the dollar has gained against other … Read More

India Buying 450% More Gold?

By Monday, October 27, 2014

How Can Gold Prices Possibly Go DownThe demand and supply situation for gold bullion, something I’ve often talked about in these pages, has taken a new course…one very favorable to gold bulls like me.

Gold buying in India is up 450% in the first nine months of 2014 compared to the first nine months of 2013. (Source: Government of India, October 14, 2014.) The jump in gold bullion buying in India is related to the easing … Read More

The Nine-Month Check-Up

By Wednesday, October 1, 2014

Nine-Month Check-UpWith nine months behind us this year, today we look at how two popular forms of investment have done in 2014 and where I think they are headed for the remainder of the year.

Starting with stocks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed yesterday up 2.8% for the year. Given the risk of the stock market, 2.8% is no big gain. I wrote at the beginning of 2014 that the … Read More

Where the U.S. Dollar Is Headed and What It Means to You

By Monday, September 29, 2014

U.S. Dollar Is HeadedFor the U.S. federal government’s fiscal year, which ends this Tuesday, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) predicts a budget deficit of $506 billion. (Source: Congressional Budget Office web site, September 26, 2014.)

But just because our annual deficit is declining, that doesn’t mean our national debt is rising by an equal amount.

In fact, between September 20, 2013 and September 20, 2014, the U.S. national debt increased by $1.0 trillion. … Read More

A Rational Look at Gold

By Wednesday, September 24, 2014

Rational Look at GoldThe fundamentals that drive gold prices higher are in full force and improving. Central banks are buying more of the precious metal (to add to their reserves), while countries that are known to be big consumers of gold bullion post increased demand.

According to the India Bullion & Jewellers’ Association, India’s monthly gold bullion imports are expected to rise by as much as 50% in the coming few months—in the … Read More

Should You Buy Into the U.S. Dollar Rally?

By Wednesday, September 17, 2014

U.S. Dollar: The Best of the WorstSince May, when it was near an all-time low, the U.S. dollar has rallied. Compared to other major currencies of the world, the greenback is up five percent since July, as the chart below illustrates.

The question: should investors get into this U.S. dollar rally?

Dear reader, the U.S. dollar is not moving higher because the fundamentals of the U.S. economy are getting better. It’s moving higher because other parts … Read More

Why Aren’t Gold Prices Rising?

By Wednesday, August 20, 2014

Guess Who Just Bought Gold for the 14th Consecutive QuarterThe numbers are in…

In the second quarter of 2014, world central banks bought 117.8 tonnes of gold bullion compared to 92.1 tonnes a year earlier—a jump of 28%. Central banks have been net purchasers of gold bullion for 14 consecutive quarters!

According to the World Gold Council, “Economic and geopolitical events throughout the world are sources of ongoing instability and uncertainty. Such events reinforce the requirement for appropriate risk … Read More

Where I’d Put My Money Now

By Wednesday, August 13, 2014

Annual Supply of World Gold ShrinkingAs gold bullion prices declined last year, I said supply would contract as gold miners pulled back on exploration and closed mines that were not profitable at $1,200-an-ounce gold.

For the supply of gold bullion to increase, there needs to be more discoveries. Sadly, the opposite is happening. According to SNL Metals & Mining, gold discoveries have been trending downward. In the 1990s, there were 124 new gold discoveries totaling … Read More

What’s Up Three Times More Than Stocks So Far This Year?

By Wednesday, July 9, 2014

Where Gold Will Trade in the Second Half of 2014Investors who bought gold bullion in early 2014 know it was a great decision. The precious metal has increased 10.2% in price between January and June, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed by just three percent.

So far, so good—and as expected.

Going forward, it will not be surprising to me to see the precious metal outperform the stock market in the second half of the year as well…. Read More