china

5 Reasons Why the Global Meltdown is Just Getting Warmed Up

By Thursday, September 3, 2015
Global Stock Market CrashLate last year I wrote an article suggesting the U.S. could enter a depression in 2015. To some it sounded farfetched at the time. After all, the stock market was at record highs and investors remained bullish. But it seemed to me that all the economic evidence pointed to a U.S. financial crisis. I think the same conditions are in play. In fact, I think the global meltdown is just .

Gold Price Outlook: Currency War Between China and South Korea Could Send Gold Soaring

By Wednesday, September 2, 2015
Gold-Price-ForecastLast week brought an odd twist to commodity markets, with crude oil rising more than 12% and gold prices falling by just as much. The dichotomy played out as markets swung wildly, trading on weak Chinese data and a strong U.S. dollar. Ultimately, the flight to safety didn’t include an upswing for gold, but I think a currency war between China and South Korea could change that. Gold has severely .

Chart: Here’s Why China’s Stock Market Could Crash Another 50%

By Wednesday, September 2, 2015
China Stock Market CrashOver the next couple of months, China’s stock market could crash another 50%. It won’t happen overnight. But as I’m about to show you, the bull market in Chinese equities is over. And before the crash is over, investors could lose 20%, 35%, 50%, or even more. Let me explain. As the great Yogi Berra once said, “If people don’t want to come out to the ball park, nobody’s gonna .

Global Economy: If Only China Was the Biggest Problem

By Wednesday, September 2, 2015
Global EconomyFor months, I have written in these pages about how the slowing global economy would wash ashore to America and infect our own companies. I posted repeated charts in Profit Confidential that showed leading indicators like the Baltic Dry Index and copper prices were collapsing, foretelling of poor economic conditions ahead. And wouldn’t you believe some of my own analysts ridiculed me in face of what was once the booming .

Shocking: South Korea Exports Crash Most Since 2009

By Wednesday, September 2, 2015
Economic CollapseWhile most people are obsessing over China’s stock market crash, a more pressing concern is the decline of global trade. There are two major exporters, both of them in East Asia, whose exports have fallen dramatically from month to month. It is a devastating blow to the world economy, and one that could very well tip us into a full-blown economic collapse. In recent years, China, Japan, and South Korea .

Canada Officially Enters Recession; China Stock Market Crash to Blame

By Tuesday, September 1, 2015
Chinese-Stock-Market-CrashThe impact of China’s stock market crash is sending shockwaves around the world, leaving the global economy on the verge of economic collapse in 2016. On Tuesday, StatsCanada revealed the Canadian economy officially entered a recession. The country’s economy contracted by 0.5% during the previous three months, marking the second straight quarter of falling economic activity. (Source: Gross domestic product by industry, September 1, 2015.) The numbers only get uglier .

Consumer Spending Anemic as 58% Say Economy “Getting Worse”

By Monday, August 31, 2015
Consumer SpendingI have written over and over again on how distorted the U.S. business sales and inventory figures are. Manufacturers are stockpiling products. Retailers are experiencing a decline in sales. Consumer spending is getting softer. But it’s more than just retail that is becoming a drag on the U.S. economy. Statistics from the U.S. housing market also point to very soft consumer spending. In July, the annual rate of new home .

Donald Trump is Right; America Has Lost One Million Jobs to China

By Friday, August 28, 2015
Donald Trump is Right About ChinaThere’s a lot of bombast in the midst of China’s stock market crash, but a nugget of truth has emerged from an unlikely source: Donald Trump. Currently the frontrunner for the Republican nomination for president, Trump’s political motivations can be questioned, but his message holds water even under closer examination. Beginning on June 12, 2015, the Chinese stock market began an epic decline that cost the Shanghai Composite Index nearly .

Global Economy: Why It Will Get Worse Before It Gets Better

By Friday, August 28, 2015
Global EconomyChina is in deep trouble. Economic activity in the second-biggest economy is plunging and it looks like the situation is only going to get worse. The Caixin Flash China General Manufacturing Purchasing Mangers’ Index (PMI), an indicator of manufacturing activity, now stands at 47.8—the lowest level in more than six years. (Source: Markit Economics, August 21, 2015.) A PMI below 50 means contraction in the manufacturing sector. This year, the .

Exchange Traded Funds: 2 ETFs to Profit from China’s Economic Growth

By Friday, August 28, 2015
Exchange Traded FundIn a country where the annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate could be eight percent, its stock market should be a good place to invest, right? Well, according to the portfolio strategy research team at The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE:GS), China’s economic growth will come back in the final quarter of this year. Moreover, the country’s growth rate is expected to accelerate to an annualized rate of eight .
Sep. 3, 2015
Trailing 12-month EPS for Dow Jones companies (Most Recent Quarter) $1014.15
Trailing 12-month Price/earnings multiple (Most Recent Quarter)

17.44

Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend Yield 2.62%
10-year U.S. Treasury Yield 2.19%

Immediate term outlook:
The bear market rally in stocks that started in March 2009, extended because of unprecedented central bank money printing, is coming to an end. Gold bullion is up $1,000 an ounce since we first recommended it in 2002 and we are still bullish on the physical metal.

Short-to-medium term outlook:
World economies are entering their slowest growth period since 2009. The Chinese economy grew last year at its slowest pace in 24 years. Japan is in recession. The eurozone is in depression. With almost half the S&P 500 companies deriving revenue outside the U.S., slower world economic growth will negatively impact revenue and earnings growth of American companies. Domestically, America’s gross domestic product grew by only a meager 2.3% in the second quarter, which will negatively impact an already overpriced equity market.

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From: Michael Lombardi, MBA
Subject: 200% Profit on the Ultimate "Fear Gauge" Play

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