Lombardi: Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis Since 1986

Posts Tagged ‘DOW’

DOW at Record High; Are You Protected?

By for Profit Confidential

DOW at Record HighThe market appears to have another bull leg with the DOW and S&P 500 closing higher in seven of the last nine sessions to March 6. The blue chip stocks have been especially strong, with the DOW hitting a record close of 14,296.24 and intraday at 14,320 last Wednesday. The S&P 500 is also approaching its historical high.

With the advance, there are now questions regarding the sustainability, which you can read about in “Why Near-Term Prospects in the Stock Market May Be Limited.”

While the global economy is improving, the catalyst for the upward move in stocks has largely been the easy monetary policy worldwide that has resulted in a low-interest-rate environment and the search for alternative investments other than low-yield bonds.

So while all is fine now, I still sense a correction could be in the works, especially if the S&P 500 stalls.

You need to think about a viable investment strategy as a defensive posture. I firmly believe in having an investment strategy in place and adopting strong risk management to protect your investments.

One investment strategy would be to take some profits off the table, but then you may miss out on a potential stock rally.

A popular investment strategy to protect gains is the use of put options as a defensive hedge against market weakness. This strategy is called a protective hedge.

Under this investment strategy, investors may be somewhat bearish or uncertain and want to protect the current gains against additional downside moves in the stock or the market with the use of index put options.

For those of you not familiar … Read More

Protecting Investment Gains:
One of My Favorite Strategies

By for Profit Confidential

The charts of the key stock indices look ominous after the selling on Tuesday in which the DOW and S&P 500 lost over two percent. Small-cap stocks fared the worst, with the Russell 200 down 3.26%. The selling was on above-average trading volume above the 50-day moving average (MA).

Stocks Looking Good After
Break at 50-day MA

By for Profit Confidential

We are at the mid-point of the year. The year started with a bang, but reversed course in May and early June, with stocks trending down on rising global risk.

At the mid-year, the key indices are up between four and seven percent in the first half, with hopes for a better second half, albeit the global market risk continues to be high.

Special Stock Market Chart Review:
Charts Point to Further Weakness

By for Profit Confidential

The six-day losing streak finally came to an end on Thursday, but I sense that the buying was likely more to do with oversold buying than a change in market sentiment.

The charts continue to show fragility and exhaustion, with the near-term view being bearish on weak Relative Strength (RS). My investment advice is that stocks could move lower in the near term.

All four of the key indices remain below their respective key 50-day moving average (MA)—a bearish sign. Watch for buying support due to an oversold technical condition.

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