economic analysis

Global Economic Slowdown to Take Stock Market Down with It

By Wednesday, July 15, 2015

Global EconomyThe global economy is headed towards an economic slowdown and it will take U.S. stock prices down with it.The growth rates of major economies are anemic. China is growing at its slowest pace in two decades, putting pressure on Australia’s economy. Japan has been going in and out of recession for years now. The crisis in Greece has strained the eurozone’s economic growth even further. And the U.S. economy. Read More

Economic Collapse Headed for U.S. in 2015

By Wednesday, July 8, 2015

U.S. Economic Collapse 2015The last thing Wall Street is thinking about is an economic collapse in 2015. After all, the stock markets are at record highs, unemployment is down, and inflation is in check. But the fact of the matter is that these same indicators were also in check before the markets crashed in 1987, 2000, and 2008/09.Back in 2008/09, everyone on Wall Street, save for Michael Lombardi and Peter Schiff,. Read More

U.S. Trade Deficit Dropped Sharply in April

By Wednesday, June 3, 2015

U.S. Trade DeficitOn Wednesday, June 3, 2015, the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), through the Department of Commerce, reported the trade balance for the month of April. Results show that the trade deficit shrank more than expected. (Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, June 3, 2015.) The gap reduced by 19.2% to $40.9 billion, down $9.7 billion from the prior month’s $50.6 billion—which was the widest in. Read More

Fed’s Brainard: Not Seeing Significant Q2 Bounce Back

By Wednesday, June 3, 2015

Feds BrainardOn Tuesday, June 2, 2015, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Lael Brainard said that current economic data does not suggest that the U.S. will see a significant second-quarter rebound. She also stated that a strong dollar delays U.S. interest rates to nominal levels. Despite the disappointing economic data, she mentioned that a 2015 rate hike is still possible. (Source: Federal Reserve, June 2, 2015.)“No. Read More

Chinese Economic Collapse Imminent? How Investors Can Protect Themselves

By Monday, June 1, 2015

Chinese Economic CollapseThe benchmark Shanghai Composite Index cratered 6.5% last Thursday on news of a fund dumping several Chinese banks and the raising of margin requirements. But this doesn’t mean we are in store for a Chinese economic collapse. The Great Wall is not falling.Just like it was in 1987, 2000, and even more recently, Chinese stocks trading in mainland China have vaulted sky-high; driven by easy money, frenzied speculative trading,. Read More

European Economy 2015: Economic Forecasts and U.S. Profits

By Sunday, May 17, 2015

European EconomyMay 13, 2015 was a busy day for the release of European economic results. How did the European economy fare and how do these numbers affect U.S. companies?Forecasts, for the European economy as a whole, call for the region to muddle through a “mild cyclical upswing” driven by cheaper oil, a lower euro, and government spending. (Source: European Commission, May 5, 2015.)The same forecasts expect gross domestic product. Read More

European Economic Forecast 2015: A Story of Inflation

By Saturday, May 9, 2015

European economic outlookOn May 5, 2015, the European Commission released its spring 2015 European Economic Forecast. According to the forecasts, growth prospects haven’t been better in years. Will cheap oil and a devalued Euro help Europe overcome its biggest obstacle?Economic Outlook in EuropeThe latest economic forecast for Europe states that the region is going through a “mild cyclical upswing” due to lower oil prices, a cheaper euro, “steady” global growth,. Read More

First-Quarter GDP Proves U.S. Economy Fragile

By Wednesday, May 6, 2015

US Economy fragileFor most of 2015, I have been writing about how the U.S. economy is growing at a very slow pace, if it’s growing at all. The just-released U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) numbers for the first quarter of 2015 confirm this; the economy grew at an annual pace of just 0.2% in the first quarter of this year. But a closer look at the GDP numbers reveals something worse than. Read More

Oil Price Forecast for May 2015: the U.S. vs. OPEC

By Friday, May 1, 2015

Oil Price ForecastThe oil price forecast for 2015 continues to be dominated by the actions of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). And its fierce rival, the U.S. Supply, continues to outweigh demand. But oil drifts higher. Where will prices go from here?Oil Price Forecast 2015: Supply vs. DemandThe oil market is dominated by the fundamental principle of supply and demand. The oil price forecast for May 2015 and. Read More

The “Grexit” Explained: What’s Behind Greece’s Possible Eurozone Exit

By Friday, May 1, 2015

Greece Stock MarketWhat to Know About Greece’s Potential Eurozone Exit (or “Grexit”)Is anything more gripping right now than wondering how close Germany will let Greece get to the precipice before a crisis is averted at the last second?Greece’s six-year recession came to a quiet end at the start of 2014. Since then, its recovery has been anemic. In 2014, the country’s economy expanded by 0.7%. It might gain traction this. Read More

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Subject: Gold: The Stock Contrarian Investors’ Best Play of the Decade

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