Economic growth

U.S. Economy: These Three Data Points Show Growth Has Stopped

By Monday, April 13, 2015

Economic growth stoppedIf you think the U.S. economy is improving, this story says that, truth be told, it’s the complete opposite for the economy, as recent data suggest there is no growth.
U.S. Economy’s Jobs Market Tormented
In March of this year, only 126,000 jobs were added to the U.S. economy. That’s well below the increase of 264,000 jobs in the previous month, less than half the average of 260,000 a month over the last 12 months, and below the 250,000 jobs analysts were expecting…. Read More

Why the U.S. Dollar Is Rising So High; Dollar Collapse in the Works?

By Thursday, April 9, 2015

Dollar CollapseDespite being the global reserve currency, the U.S. dollar has been a second-rate currency, trading in the doldrums. At least that was until last July when it began to show signs of life. Since then, the U.S. dollar index has risen more than 21%. But why is the U.S. dollar rising and is it sustainable?
Why the U.S. Dollar Is Rising: Strong U.S. Economy?
The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the U.S…. Read More

What Is the U.S. Economic Outlook for 2015? Good, if You’re Rich

By Wednesday, April 1, 2015

The U.S. Economic Outlook for 2015… Read More will be significantly different depending on your vantage point. If you’re wealthy, 2015 will probably be another year of celebratory wealth creation.
If, on the other hand, you’re not, 2015 will feel an awful lot like 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, and 2009. Wall Street and the U.S. government will tell you the economy is doing well, but it won’t feel like it.
In fact, according to a national survey, 70% of Americans believe the U.S.

U.S. Dollar Strength the Real Threat to Investors, Not Higher Interest Rates

By Friday, March 13, 2015

US Dollar strengthThere are issues brewing in the stock market with interest rates fears and the strengthening greenback that could drive the S&P 500 lower by five percent or more.
When Will the Fed Increase Interest Rates?
First, we have the fears surrounding rising interest rates after the strong improvement in the unemployment rate to a pre-recession low of 5.5%. This is well below the target, previously set by former Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke, as the level at which the central bank would begin raising interest rates…. Read More

Three Statistics That Say No Economic Growth Yet

By Friday, January 23, 2015

ECB Money PrintingLook at any newspaper or watch any financial news channel and you will hear someone saying the U.S. economy is growing. To prove their point, they will refer to gross domestic product (GDP) figures and unemployment data.
Yes, the GDP numbers and the unemployment picture do look better, but our economy is still in very big trouble…. Read More

Why the Housing Market Points to Very Weak 2015 Economy

By Monday, November 3, 2014

Housing Market Points to Very Weak 2015 EconomyThe chart below shows us that between April and August of this year, home prices in the U.S. declined. The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index is only released 60 days after each month’s end, so while data for September and October are not yet available, based on what I’m about to tell you, five years after the Great Recession, the U.S. housing market is on shaky ground again.
According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), in the month of September, first-time homebuyers accounted for only 29% of all sales of existing homes in the U.S…. Read More

These Poor 3Q Earnings Reports Foretell 2015’s Economy

By Friday, October 31, 2014

Poor 3Q Earnings Reports Foretell 2015’s EconomyAccording to research by UC Berkeley, in 2012, the top one percent of income earners in the U.S. earned 22.5% of all the income. The bottom 90%, on the other hand, earned less than 50% of all the income. (Source: Pew Research Center, January 7, 2014.) Income inequality in the U.S. economy is the highest it has been since 1928. The rich are getting richer, and the poor are seeing their share of income decline…. Read More

Why Wal-Mart’s Sales Downgrade Should Worry Investors

By Friday, October 24, 2014

Why Wal-Mart's Sales DowngradeOn November 30, Switzerland’s citizens will cast a very critical vote.
Through a referendum, they will vote for or against the Swiss National Bank increasing its gold bullion reserves to 20%, the central bank halting the selling of gold, and the storing of gold bullion in the country. (Source: Kitco News, September 30, 2014.)
If the results are in favor of the referendum, it will mean Switzerland’s central bank will be forced to buy a significant amount of gold bullion…. Read More

Why I Expect a Big Boost in This Company’s 2015 Dividend Payout

By Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Company 2015 Dividend PayoutEven with the recent price retrenchment, there’s not a lot of value circulating in this stock market. Everything’s already gone up and the capital gains have been great the last few years. But it’s still a slow-growth environment in the global economy, and despite a very accommodative monetary policy, stocks can’t go up forever without experiencing a meaningful retrenchment.
Company earnings are pouring in and there have been some disappointments. But for a lot of mature large-cap businesses, this is a reflection of their industries’ cycles…. Read More

Plunging Oil Prices Next Big Investment Opportunity?

By Friday, October 17, 2014

Declining Oil Prices the Market’s CatalystWhile corporate earnings continue to come in solid, stocks continue to be sold.
It’s not all the time that stocks follow oil prices, but they certainly have this time around and the selling momentum has gained on deflationary pressures from producer prices to declining expectations for global economic growth.
And the selling is happening to companies that beat consensus with their earnings, like J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT), which beat Wall Street estimates for sales and earnings in what was a very solid quarter for the trucking company…. Read More

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