Economic growth

U.S. Dollar Strength the Real Threat to Investors, Not Higher Interest Rates

By Friday, March 13, 2015

US Dollar strengthThere are issues brewing in the stock market with interest rates fears and the strengthening greenback that could drive the S&P 500 lower by five percent or more.
When Will the Fed Increase Interest Rates?
First, we have the fears surrounding rising interest rates after the strong improvement in the unemployment rate to a pre-recession low of 5.5%. This is well below the target, previously set by former Federal Reserve… Read More

What Is the U.S. Economic Outlook for 2015? Good, if You’re Rich

By Sunday, March 1, 2015

The U.S. Economic Outlook for 2015… Read More will be significantly different depending on your vantage point. If you’re wealthy, 2015 will probably be another year of celebratory wealth creation.
If, on the other hand, you’re not, 2015 will feel an awful lot like 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, and 2009. Wall Street and the U.S. government will tell you the economy is doing well, but it won’t feel like it.
In

Three Statistics That Say No Economic Growth Yet

By Friday, January 23, 2015

ECB Money PrintingLook at any newspaper or watch any financial news channel and you will hear someone saying the U.S. economy is growing. To prove their point, they will refer to gross domestic product (GDP) figures and unemployment data.
Yes, the GDP numbers and the unemployment picture do look better, but our economy is still in very big trouble…. Read More

Why the Housing Market Points to Very Weak 2015 Economy

By Monday, November 3, 2014

Housing Market Points to Very Weak 2015 EconomyThe chart below shows us that between April and August of this year, home prices in the U.S. declined. The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index is only released 60 days after each month’s end, so while data for September and October are not yet available, based on what I’m about to tell you, five years after the Great Recession, the U.S. housing market is on shaky ground again.
According to… Read More

These Poor 3Q Earnings Reports Foretell 2015’s Economy

By Friday, October 31, 2014

Poor 3Q Earnings Reports Foretell 2015’s EconomyAccording to research by UC Berkeley, in 2012, the top one percent of income earners in the U.S. earned 22.5% of all the income. The bottom 90%, on the other hand, earned less than 50% of all the income. (Source: Pew Research Center, January 7, 2014.) Income inequality in the U.S. economy is the highest it has been since 1928. The rich are getting richer, and the poor are seeing… Read More

Why Wal-Mart’s Sales Downgrade Should Worry Investors

By Friday, October 24, 2014

Why Wal-Mart's Sales DowngradeOn November 30, Switzerland’s citizens will cast a very critical vote.
Through a referendum, they will vote for or against the Swiss National Bank increasing its gold bullion reserves to 20%, the central bank halting the selling of gold, and the storing of gold bullion in the country. (Source: Kitco News, September 30, 2014.)
If the results are in favor of the referendum, it will mean Switzerland’s central bank will… Read More

Why I Expect a Big Boost in This Company’s 2015 Dividend Payout

By Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Company 2015 Dividend PayoutEven with the recent price retrenchment, there’s not a lot of value circulating in this stock market. Everything’s already gone up and the capital gains have been great the last few years. But it’s still a slow-growth environment in the global economy, and despite a very accommodative monetary policy, stocks can’t go up forever without experiencing a meaningful retrenchment.
Company earnings are pouring in and there have been some disappointments…. Read More

Plunging Oil Prices Next Big Investment Opportunity?

By Friday, October 17, 2014

Declining Oil Prices the Market’s CatalystWhile corporate earnings continue to come in solid, stocks continue to be sold.
It’s not all the time that stocks follow oil prices, but they certainly have this time around and the selling momentum has gained on deflationary pressures from producer prices to declining expectations for global economic growth.
And the selling is happening to companies that beat consensus with their earnings, like J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT), which… Read More

Why Stock Prices Will Continue to Fall

By Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Stock Prices Will Continue to FallNow that the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen 1,035 points (six percent) from its mid-September peak, the question investors are asking is “how far will she go?” For small-cap investors, the drama is greater, as the Russell 2000 Index has fallen 12.5% from its July peak.
Since 2009, every market pullback presented investors with an opportunity to get back into stocks at discounted prices. Even some editors here at… Read More

Is This Stock Sell-Off Just a Blip?

By Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Is This Stock Sell-Off Just a BlipIf there’s one thing the stock market needs, it’s a distraction from global growth worries and geopolitical events. And corporate earnings are the ticket for that as this season’s numbers are starting to pour in.
Pharmaceutical benchmark Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) once again beat Wall Street consensus, generating another good quarter of both sales and earnings growth.
The company completed a major divestiture of its ortho-clinical diagnostics division during its… Read More

×