Interest Rates: Six Reasons They Are Going to Go Up

By Monday, June 22, 2015

Interest RatesThe Federal Reserve provides projections on U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) four times each year; in March, June, September, and December.Just a few days ago, the Fed released its June projections. The Fed expects the U.S. economy to grow between 1.8% and two percent this year. (Source: Federal Reserve, last accessed June 17, 2015.) The mainstream will take this number and run with it. But what you won’t hear. Read More

Leading Indicators Show Improving U.S. Economy

By Friday, June 19, 2015

Leading Economic IndicatorsJust one day after Janet Yellen reported moderate economic growth, a crucial indicator confirmed the Federal Reserve’s analysis.On Friday, June 19th, the Conference Board released its widely-followed Leading Economic Index, a composite of indicators that hint at future growth. The index clocked in at 0.7% in May, exceeding expectations by 30 basis points. (Source: Conference Board Press Release, June 18, 2015.)The board also released its coincident and lagging. Read More

U.S. GDP Contracts in 1Q15; Economy Halfway to a Recession This Year

By Monday, June 1, 2015

U.S. GDPEarlier this year in Profit Confidential, I wrote that I wouldn’t be surprised to see the U.S. economy enter a recession in 2015. I got a lot of flak here from my fellow economists…even some of my customers thought that prediction was too far off.But, lo and behold; we are already halfway there.On Friday, according to the revised numbers, we learned that U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) contracted. Read More

U.S. Economy Down: First Quarter 2015 GDP Showing Decrease

By Friday, May 29, 2015

U.S. GDPOn Friday, May 29, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released the second estimate for first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) of 2015. (Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, May 29, 2015.)According to the report, U.S. GDP declined at an annual rate of 0.7% in the first quarter of 2015. The report last month, in its first estimate, suggested an increase of 0.2%. The downward revision was mainly due to more imports. Read More

U.S. Trade Balance: Largest Trade Deficit Since 2008

By Wednesday, May 6, 2015

U.S. Trade BalanceAt 8:30 a.m. on Tuesday, May 5, 2015, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the U.S. trade balance for March of this year. It announced that the goods and services deficit was at $51.4 billion in March. This is more than a 43% increase from February’s $35.9 billion, and the biggest jump in 18 years. Moreover, the trade deficit is at the highest level since October 2008.Imports Greater . Read More

First-Quarter GDP Proves U.S. Economy Fragile

By Wednesday, May 6, 2015

US Economy fragileFor most of 2015, I have been writing about how the U.S. economy is growing at a very slow pace, if it’s growing at all. The just-released U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) numbers for the first quarter of 2015 confirm this; the economy grew at an annual pace of just 0.2% in the first quarter of this year. But a closer look at the GDP numbers reveals something worse than. Read More

Economic Stalling in Eurozone Inevitable?

By Friday, November 7, 2014

Economic Stalling in Eurozone InevitableWhen Germany recently announced some underachieving economic numbers, it was a red flag for the eurozone and Europe. When the stronger of the two pillars in the eurozone (France being the other pillar) begins to show some fragility, you have to take a step back to evaluate the situation.Now, it shouldn’t be a complete surprise to you that there are growth issues brewing in the eurozone, especially given the. Read More

Why the Housing Market Points to Very Weak 2015 Economy

By Monday, November 3, 2014

Housing Market Points to Very Weak 2015 EconomyThe chart below shows us that between April and August of this year, home prices in the U.S. declined. The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index is only released 60 days after each month’s end, so while data for September and October are not yet available, based on what I’m about to tell you, five years after the Great Recession, the U.S. housing market is on shaky ground again.According to. Read More

Strategies for Investing in These Chaotic Markets

By Friday, October 24, 2014

Strategies for InvestingHere we go again. Just when the stock market is moving lower and forecasting a potential correction, we see buying emerging, driving the bears back to the woods.The reality is that I was looking for the S&P 500 to potentially correct 10%, down to around 1,792, something that has not materialized in about two years. It would, in my view, represent a good buying opportunity to accumulate shares at. Read More

Top Growth Areas Heading into 2015

By Friday, October 3, 2014

Growth Areas Heading into 2015The stock market is clearly struggling to stay afloat at this juncture, balancing the domestic economic renewal with the global risk coming from ISIS, Russia, the eurozone, and economic stalling in China.A major catalyst or a reason to buy is what investors are searching for. The focus later next week will shift to the third-quarter earnings season, which is carefully monitored by investors.The start of the third-quarter earnings. Read More


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From: Michael Lombardi, MBA
Subject: Golden Opportunity for Stock Market Investors

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