global economy

2015 Setting Up to Be One Big Disappointment for Investors

By Friday, January 30, 2015

Disappointment for InvestorsAs I close out today with my last editorial for the month of January 2015, I want to share some very interesting observations with my readers.
This morning, as I write this issue, the futures market is showing the Dow Jones Industrial Average will open down 150 points. It’s been a difficult month for the Dow Jones. Not even including today’s downdraft, the Dow Jones is down 2.5% for the… Read More

How $40-Barrel Oil Could Cripple the Global Economy

By Friday, January 16, 2015

Oil Prices Continue to PlummetSimply put, there is no support or interest in buying oil at this time, and that means oil prices could realistically hit $40.00 a barrel. Oil prices that low could cripple the global economy. Let me explain…
The Decline in Oil Prices
When the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices initially broke below $80.00, I was thinking maybe it was overdone. Then we witnessed a break below $70.00, followed… Read More

2015 Stock Market Forecast: What to Expect from Stocks in 2015

By Monday, January 5, 2015

Stock ForecastStock Market Forecast for 2015
Going into 2015, my economic outlook is not optimistic on stocks. I don’t expect to see key stock indices perform anywhere close to how they did in 2014 or recent previous years. In fact, it wouldn’t be a surprise to me if we see them decline for the first time since 2009.
I say this because there are many negative factors at play for stocks…. Read More

Stock Market Prediction 2015: Strong U.S. Economy, Weak Global Economy

By Thursday, January 1, 2015

Stock Market Predictions for 2015
My Five Stock Market Predictions for 2015
Catalysts for Growth in Place for Solid 2015
Admittedly, stock market forecasts can mostly be flimsy attempts to predict what irrational investors do in uncertain times. That doesn’t prevent most pundits from being overly optimistic.
At the end of 2013, I predicted that the U.S. stock markets would continue their bullish ways in 2014. This wasn’t a huge leap when you consider the… Read More

Currency Fluctuations and Troubled Global Economy to Drive Gold Higher

By Thursday, December 18, 2014

Gold Investors’ Insurance in 2015There are too many analysts who are concerned about deflation, a period during which the price of general goods declines. Because of this, analysts are not too keen on gold. They say the yellow metal is only good for one’s portfolio when there’s inflation. When prices are declining, it’s not really worth anything. I beg to differ, though.
While I’m not denying there are deflationary pressures building up, this negative… Read More

The Risk-Reward Ratio of Buying Stocks Now

By Monday, November 24, 2014

The Risk-Reward Ratio of Buying Stocks NowIn the third quarter of 2014, gross domestic product (GDP) for the eurozone region increased by 0.2% from the previous quarter, when it increased only 0.1%. The growth in the region has been very dismal. Major countries like Germany and France are facing economic scrutiny now. In the third quarter, Germany’s economy grew by only 0.1%; France’s GDP only increased by 0.3%. (Source: Eurostat, November 14, 2014.)
Italy, the third-biggest… Read More

What Canada/China’s Yuan Trade Deal Means for U.S. Dollar

By Friday, November 14, 2014

How Long Will This U.S. Dollar Rally LastAs the chart below illustrates, since July of this year, the U.S. dollar has been rallying against other major world currencies.
I, for one, do not expect to see the rally in the U.S. dollar sustained. I believe the U.S. dollar is currently rallying, because other parts in the global economy are doing worse than the U.S. While the U.S. dollar may rise in the short-term, because our central bank… Read More

Low Oil and Copper Prices Tell Us Stock Market in Trouble

By Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Dangers of Low Oil and Copper PricesTo see where the global economy is headed, I follow the prices of oil and copper. The prices of these commodities tell us about demand in the global economy. If the prices of oil and copper are rising, it means there’s prosperity. If the opposite occurs, it means industry (factories) is not busy and that a global economic slowdown is not far away.
With this in mind, below is the… Read More

Why I Expect a Big Boost in This Company’s 2015 Dividend Payout

By Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Company 2015 Dividend PayoutEven with the recent price retrenchment, there’s not a lot of value circulating in this stock market. Everything’s already gone up and the capital gains have been great the last few years. But it’s still a slow-growth environment in the global economy, and despite a very accommodative monetary policy, stocks can’t go up forever without experiencing a meaningful retrenchment.
Company earnings are pouring in and there have been some disappointments…. Read More

Plunging Oil Prices Next Big Investment Opportunity?

By Friday, October 17, 2014

Declining Oil Prices the Market’s CatalystWhile corporate earnings continue to come in solid, stocks continue to be sold.
It’s not all the time that stocks follow oil prices, but they certainly have this time around and the selling momentum has gained on deflationary pressures from producer prices to declining expectations for global economic growth.
And the selling is happening to companies that beat consensus with their earnings, like J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (JBHT), which… Read More

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