There are still all sorts of blue chips trading right at their 52-week highs; some are trading at their all-time highs. And the best part about this is that these companies are not expensively priced on the stock market.
Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE/CL) is one of the blue chips having an outstanding year on the stock market. This stock just hit an all-time record high of $109.84 (split adjusted), up from .
On a lot of occasions, the stock market sells off on the reality of its expectations, but it hasn’t since the Federal Reserve announced a third round of quantitative easing (QE3). The main stock market indices are holding up very well, consolidating more so than selling off on the news. Stock market sentiment continues to be relatively positive, with some hope for the economic future and the expectation that third-quarter .
The stock market rally continues, and it’s great; that is of course, if you own the right companies. For the most part, the best wealth creation over the last few years has come from large-cap, dividend paying stocks that are the brand names we all know. I’d never thought I’d be singing the praises of mature, blue chip companies (and dividends), but it’s always in the tough times that large-cap .
A lot of smaller companies and micro-cap stocks are now reporting their quarterly earnings, and a lot of the numbers are pretty good. I’ve noticed particular financial strength in a number of micro-cap technology companies, along with good trading action among biotech companies.
There’s no real trend among micro-cap stocks, aside from the Russell 2000 Index, which is about five percent below its recent high set in March of this .
To be honest, I’m surprised the stock market has been so strong; the S&P 500 Index broke 1,400 so quickly. It’s amazing to me that after a mediocre earnings season, when earnings expectations were revised lower, the stock market has been able to rise. Two reasons stand out for the breakout—a little more certainty regarding the ability of eurozone policymakers to take action to protect the euro, and genuine hope .
Ever since the beginning of June, when the stock market came out of its correction, there has been seesaw-trading action with three meaningful peaks and valleys in the S&P 500 Index. We’re now working on the fourth, and who knows where it will lead.
Expectations for corporate profits continue to come down, and any positive investor sentiment is likely due to the lingering hope for additional monetary stimulus from the .
Unless we get a major shock like war or something related to the sovereign debt crisis in Europe, I don’t think the stock market is going to experience a lot of further downside. Stock prices might drift and then trade range-bound for a couple more months, but stock market valuations are fair and this provides a lot of cushion.
I do think there is more downside potential in gold, silver .
This is the correction we’ve been expecting and it’s affecting stocks as well as commodities. The stock market has been due for a correction after a solid first-quarter earnings season and, because share prices moved so strongly since the beginning of the year. It doesn’t really matter what the catalyst is for the correction; it is well-deserved and a healthy development in my view.
I think the S&P 500 Index .
If the S&P 500 Index is trading close to the 1,400 level, then I view the equity market as being in good shape. We’re getting a bit of a consolidation now and this is completely normal after the flurry of corporate earnings from large-cap companies. Many smaller companies are only now beginning to report their earnings reports, but this is an equity market that’s focused on large-caps. They have been .
I have a strong sense that the stock market trading action we’ve experienced over the last several months will continue over the next quarter or so. One day, the stock market will be up on some positive economic news; the next day, the economic news will point the other way. The stock market is at its current level largely due to two equal factors—the Federal Reserve and reasonable valuations. At .
Immediate term outlook:
The bear market rally in stocks that started in March 2009, extended because of unprecedented central bank money printing, is coming to an end. Gold bullion is up $1,000 an ounce since we first recommended it in 2002 and we are still bullish on the physical metal.
Short-to-medium term outlook:
World economies are entering their slowest growth period since 2009. The Chinese economy grew last year at its slowest pace in 24 years. Japan is in recession. The eurozone is in depression. With almost half the S&P 500 companies deriving revenue outside the U.S., slower world economic growth will negatively impact revenue and earnings growth of American companies. Domestically, America’s gross domestic product grew by only a meager 2.3% in the second quarter, which will negatively impact an already overpriced equity market.
Estimates Aug. 29, 2015
Trailing 12-month EPS for Dow Jones companies (Most Recent Quarter)