retail sales

China: April Industrial Output, Retail Sales, Investment Lower than Estimates

By Thursday, May 21, 2015

China April Economic DataEconomic data coming out of China does not look good. At the very least, they’re collectively saying that Chinese economic activity is slowing at a staggering pace.China’s Dismal Factory Output, Retail Sales, and Investment Miss EstimatesApril’s factory output increased 5.9% year-over-year, beating March’s 5.6% increase. However, the growth is slightly less than the six percent expected by analysts. Moreover, the 5.6% reading in March was the lowest since. Read More

Retail Sales Disappoint Again in April

By Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Retail Sales DataI am not surprised that the retail sales remained unchanged in April. Although warmer weather is upon us, the April retail sales data did not warm up the way the industry would have liked.Retail Sales and Consumer Confidence FadingAfter barely growing in the first three months of 2015, U.S. retail sales were flat in April and continue to disappoint. Consumers cutting back on their purchases could be an. Read More

Three Statistics That Say No Economic Growth Yet

By Friday, January 23, 2015

ECB Money PrintingLook at any newspaper or watch any financial news channel and you will hear someone saying the U.S. economy is growing. To prove their point, they will refer to gross domestic product (GDP) figures and unemployment data.Yes, the GDP numbers and the unemployment picture do look better, but our economy is still in very big trouble.. Read More

Wal-Mart Sales Concerns Bad Sign for Retail Sector This Holiday Season?

By Friday, November 14, 2014

Bad Sign for Retail Sector This Holiday SeasonIn two weeks from today, all eyes will be on Black Friday and the official beginning of the holiday shopping season, which for some in the retail sector is the most critical time of the year.While I do expect consumers to be out and spending in full force, I’m not sure about the retail sector and margins. The decline in gasoline prices should help add some money to the. Read More

About That QE4…

By Monday, October 20, 2014

Another Round of Money Printing Coming SoonIt’s widely expected that at the end of this month, the Federal Reserve will end its third round of quantitative easing (that began in September of 2012). This is QE3, where the Federal Reserve was printing $85.0 billion of new money every month and using it to buy U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities (MBS). In the beginning of 2014, the Fed started reducing the amount of money it was printing. Read More

What the Fear Index Is Telling Us About Stocks Now

By Friday, October 17, 2014

Why This Stock Market Rout Is Here to StayOver the past few months, I warned my readers the stock market had become a risky place to be. While I also suggested euphoria could bring the market higher than most thought possible—to the point of irrationality—the bubble has now burst. Key stock indices are falling and fear among investors is rising quickly.Please look at the chart below of the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index (VIX). This. Read More

Two Important Economic Signals to Share with My Readers This Morning

By Monday, August 25, 2014

U.S. Consumer Confidence CollapsingA good gauge for me on how consumers in the U.S. economy are faring has always been the statistics coming out of Wal-Mart.Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE/WMT) reported its operating income in its second quarter (ended July 31, 2014) declined by 2.4%. Its subsidiary, Sam’s Club (wholesale store), saw its operating income, after taking out fuel, decline by 10.2%. (Source: Wal-Mart Stores Inc., August 14, 2014.)For its entire 2015. Read More

U.S. Economy to Enter Recession in Next 12 Months or Less

By Monday, April 28, 2014

Consumer Spending Telling Us About U.S. EconomyAn economy is said to be technically in a recession when it experiences two consecutive quarters of negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth.The biggest portion of the U.S. GDP calculation is consumer spending; then comes investments, government spending, and, finally, net of exports. By far, consumer spending is the biggest factor in calculating GDP. All you need is a slight decline in consumer spending for GDP to fall.And. Read More

Important Message Retailers Are Sending Us About the Economy

By Thursday, March 6, 2014

Consumer Spending Hits Trouble TerritoryConsumer spending in the U.S. economy is highly correlated to consumer confidence. If consumers are worried about the economy, they pull back on their spending.The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index decreased by 1.63% in February from January. (Source: Conference Board, February 25, 2014.) And we see the corresponding pullback on consumer spending in weak U.S. retail sales.Macy’s, Inc. (NYSE/M) reported a decline of 1.6% in revenue in its. Read More

Bad Weather to Blame for Consumer Spending Pullback? Numbers Argue Otherwise

By Thursday, February 27, 2014

Retail Sales All Slowing at the Same TimeMainstream stock advisors are blowing air…telling us the U.S. economy is stalling due to cold weather. They say the economic chill caused by the uncharacteristically cold weather this year is only temporary. I don’t believe this for a moment.Sure, the weather had its impact. Consumers have been reluctant to go out and shop, and higher home heating bills might have them spending otherwise so far in 2014, but there’s. Read More

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From: Michael Lombardi, MBA
Subject: Golden Opportunity for Stock Market Investors

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