Lombardi: Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis Since 1986

retail sector

This Luxury Retailer Now Affordable?

By | August 29, 2014

Should You Take This Opportunity to Buy This Luxury StockThe top one percent are spending and don’t really care about the other 99%. For the retail sector and particularly the luxury-brand stocks, this is welcome news.

High-end jeweler Tiffany & Co. (NYSE/TIF) pleased investors and Wall Street on Wednesday after reporting better-than-expected results and increasing its fiscal 2015 earnings estimate for the second time. Consumers in the Americas, Asia, and Europe are spending in the retail sector.

While Tiffany … Read More

The New Land of Oz

By | May 28, 2014

When Gold Will Finally BottomYesterday was an amazing day for the markets.

Gold bullion hit a three-month low despite: 1) inflation rising rapidly in North America; and 2) the Chinese buying half of this year’s world gold production.

The stock market was up to a new high despite: 1) corporate insiders selling like mad; 2) corporate earnings growth collapsing; 3) the amount of money investors have borrowed to buy stocks standing at a record … Read More

The Opportunity Coming to the Luxury Retail Stocks

By | February 28, 2014

The Pros and Cons I See in the Retail Sector Right NowWe all know how bad this winter has been so far. The harsh weather across the majority of the country has impacted jobs growth, commerce, housing, and consumer spending.

Of course, with the spring season on the horizon, we’ll soon see if the weak economic metrics mentioned were really an aberration due to the weather—or a sign of further slowing to come.

From what I can tell right now, we … Read More

Why the Winter Storm Is Skewing More Than Jobs Growth

By | February 18, 2014

Winter Storm Skewing More Than Jobs GrowthOld Man Winter appears to be killing the retail sector and the economic renewal. Extreme cold and nasty weather has engulfed about 70% of the country, reaching as far south as Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas, which don’t traditionally experience winter weather.

All that nasty weather means less driving to the malls and shops, which, judging by the numbers, appears to have been the case over the last two months. … Read More

Stock Falling, but Rich Still Spending; My Top Luxury Stock Play

By | February 6, 2014

Why This Luxury Retailer Is Simply the BestThe stock market is in turmoil and looking for help from buyers. While some are calling for investors to run to the exits, I look at weakness and market chaos as a buying opportunity.

It’s simply unrealistic to think that all stocks deserve to fall during a market adjustment like what we are seeing at this time. There are good companies out there that will stage a strong rally when … Read More

Financial Reports

Fourth-Quarter Earnings Season Another Dud

By | January 27, 2014

4Q Earnings Reveal More DudsYou can tell from the activity and the lack of direction in the stock market that the much-anticipated fourth-quarter earnings season has, yet again, been another letdown.

Now I’m not saying the early results this earnings season have been that bad; it’s just that the numbers from corporate America have not been that great.

And with just four days remaining in January, the NASDAQ and Russell 2000 are slightly positive, … Read More

The “Big Thing” for Companies This Year

By | January 24, 2014

Here Come the Job CutsLast year, the “big thing” with companies was buying back their shares to boost per-share corporate earnings. In 2013, share buybacks hit their pre-financial crisis high. If big public companies didn’t buy back so much of their own stock in 2013, per-share corporate earnings just wouldn’t be that great.

This year, I expect share buybacks to continue at the pace we saw in 2013. Another “big thing” companies will do … Read More

These Retail “Screw-ups” Could Turn Things Around This Year

By | January 24, 2014

Two Contrarian Plays for the Retail SectorThe retail sector can be a brutal place for retailers at all times. Think about it. You have to convince the consumer to buy your stuff instead of a rival brand’s. It’s all about the product, image, and marketing. That’s why shoppers look to brand-name items versus no-name products. Are the brand-name goods better? Perhaps, but is it enough to justify the price differential?

 Yoga pants maker lululemon athletica inc. … Read More

The Company I Like Among the “Out-of-Favor” Stocks

By | January 22, 2014

Top Stocks for Investing Against the HeardWhen it comes to love, we often hear the phrase, “Beauty is in the eye of the beholder.” Well, the same could be said for the stock market.

Many investors look for the companies that deliver consistent results and satisfy the number-crunchers on Wall Street. While I belong to that group, I also take alternative views and search for companies that are the so-called dogs of the stock market. However, … Read More

Top Stocks for Investors in an Uncertain Retail Market

By | January 17, 2014

How to Profit from an Uncertain Retail MarketInvestors were happily greeted with a surprise on Tuesday after the reporting of better-than-expected retail sales numbers that suggest the consumer spending market may be alive and well after all.

In December, the headline retail sales reading jumped 0.2%, which was above the Briefing.com estimate calling for a flat result. Even after adjusting for the volatile auto sales, the core retail sales reading surged 0.7% compared to the 0.4% consensus … Read More

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