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S&P 500

Here’s Why Stock Market Crash Could Happen Know that the chances of a stock market crash in 2016 are increasing. Be careful. If you own stocks, your portfolio could be on the line. As it stands, a significant amount of indicators are suggesting that a stock market crash…

For a number of years now, I’ve maintained that the U.S. and global economies would be in better shape had the central banks from around the world never intervened. After eight years of manipulating interest rates and pouring trillions of dollars into the economy, with no exit plan…

Here’s Why a Stock Market Crash Is Possible Could we see a stock market crash in 2016? This is one of the most frequent questions being asked by investors these days. Major stock indices are down big-time and there’s too much uncertainty around them. Saying it in simple…

For 2016, I am outright bearish on the stock market. If you have been following my writings, you know my 2015 prediction was that stocks would fall during the year and that 2015 would be the year the stock market put in a major top. And that’s exactly…

When it comes to the stock market, 2015 will be remembered as a year of corrections and flash crashes. Yet despite the frenetic year on Wall Street, fears of an interest rate hike in the U.S., and a struggling global economy, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial…

The stock market is becoming a dangerous place to be. Going into the New Year, my stock market forecast for 2016 is negative on the S&P 500 for the three reasons I outline below. Corporate Earnings and Revenues Are Contracting at an Accelerated Pace Rising corporate earnings and…

The stock market cannot continue to rally when corporate earnings and revenues are contracting. For the third quarter of 2015, earnings on the S&P 500 are expected to decline by five percent and revenue is expected to decline by 3.5%. (Source: FactSet, October 23, 2015.) If these are…

Here are four reasons why the stock market will continue to fall, starting with contracting earnings and revenue. On June 30, analysts were expecting S&P 500 companies to report a decline of one percent in corporate earnings. As of September 25, they now expect a decline of 4.5%.…

Could Weak Earnings Spark a Stock Market Crash in 2016? Weak corporate earnings could result in a stock market crash in 2016, dashing the mainstream belief that the U.S. economy is in a recovery. The Federal Reserve’s uncertain interest rate policies and lower commodity prices have jointly served…

Moody’s and Fitch did this last spring. Standard & Poor’s (S&P) has joined them by downgrading Japan’s economy rating from AA- to A+, sending a strong signal that the rating agency is not bullish on “Abenomics” pulling the country out of economic collapse mode. All this despite the…

For the second quarter of 2015, companies in key stock indices like the S&P 500 reported a decline of 0.7% in their corporate earnings. This was the first decline in profits since the third quarter of 2012. But what was more alarming was that revenues for the S&P…

Like dominos, the global markets plunged on Monday, sparked by concerns about the health of China’s economy. In the wake of the worldwide sell-off, many nervous investors are wondering how they should invest after Black Monday. Global Markets Plummet on Black Monday Even investors know how influential social…

After Wall Street’s spectacular meltdown last week, Nobel laureate Robert Shiller is ready to forecast a full-blown stock market crash. Although second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth was revised up from 2.3% to 3.3%, equities are chronically overvalued and need a massive sell-off before they fall in line…

For years, the correlation between copper prices and the stock market has been a reliable leading indicator of where stock prices are headed. The chart below plots daily copper prices (brown line), the S&P 500 (green line), and the correlation between the two (black line at the bottom…

The downside momentum in the U.S. stock market is gaining traction. And unless the Federal Reserve does a complete about-face and launches QE4, the sell-off in stocks that started in mid-May of this year will accelerate. Today, I present three very strong arguments for lower stock prices. First,…

Despite a few years of weak gold prices, China’s currency depreciation could be the tipping point that drives gold above $5,000. The yellow metal skyrocketed between 2001 and 2011, and another decade of similar growth is not unfeasible. Let me explain. A series of events in China have…