4Q14 Stock Summary: Fourth-Quarter Earnings Season a Bore
We’re now in the lull between earnings seasons, and stocks will trade off economic news and geopolitical events.
Fourth-quarter earnings season was fairly uneventful. It seemed that investors basically ignored the results, unsure of whether to buy a market that’s already gone up.
There’s been continued strength among technology stocks, and the NASDAQ Composite recently broke out convincingly over 4,750, where it had been in consolidation since last November…. Read More
Stock Market Analysis
When I look at the stock market, I am worried. I see investors behaving like they do when markets are at their peaks or forming a top. I see irrationality, extreme valuations, and too much optimism among investors.
Investors Buying Everything and Anything?
Do investors really care about what they are buying these days when it comes to stocks? In just the last few months, I have seen companies do initial public offerings (IPOs) without any earnings in sight…. Read More
Stock Market Poised for Crash?
Admittedly, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average trading at record-highs, the idea of a stock market crash isn’t garnering much attention. But despite the euphoria on Wall Street, the pieces necessary for a crash are in place.
And investors need to know how to protect themselves from an impending stock market crash. Because if there’s one thing we know about the stock market, it’s that it goes in cycles…. Read More
There were no proverbial May flowers this year when it came to the stock market, with the month showing the worst decline since September 2011. The NASDAQ fell 7.19% in May and 8.54% from the end of the first quarter. The DOW, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 lost over six percent in May. The DOW is up a mere 1.49% for the trailing 12 months, but will likely see a move to negative territory based on my stock market analysis…. Read More
Here’s how the fable goes…
Jim is in the boardroom talking to his three young analysts about where the mutual fund they manage should place its billions of cash, as the firm recently exited some equity positions.
“Where are we going to park those couple of billion we have raised?” Jim asks of the young analysts.
Bobby says, “Let’s not buy bank issued CDs. Banks really haven’t come clean with all their bad loans yet.”
Sammy says, “And let’s keep it out of the eurozone government bonds…they are paying good returns, but if they default, we will never get our money back.”
Joey finally gets up and says, “I’ve been studying the 10-year U.S…. Read More
For the most part, good timing results in the majority of your investment returns, whether you’re investing in the broader stock market or in a specific market sector. The problem, of course, is that nobody can predict the future and trying to time the stock market is extremely difficult. (See The Best Stock Market Advice I Know: Get Ahead of the Business Cycle.)
As we all know, this is a very difficult stock market in which to make investments, based on major trends in the global economy. And, even if you identify, research and feel confident about an investment theme or trend on which to speculate, outside shocks like the eurozone debt crisis can blindside your holdings. Without question, the current environment continues to be a difficult one for stock market investors.
It’s a crazy trading environment out there. Whether you are in bank stocks, gold stocks, silver stocks, or even cyclical stocks, the stock market risk is high at this time, as we just completed a volatile week of trading. The European debt crisis is keeping buyers on the sidelines and waiting for something magical to happen. The economic recovery is showing improvement here, but, with a high unemployment rate and declining home prices, it will continue to be a difficult path.
Everyone is looking for the next stock market winners, such as Apple Inc. (NASDAQ/AAPL), priceline.com Incorporated (NASDAQ/PCLN), or Google Inc. (NASDAQ/GOOG). While gold and gold stocks have provided some of best performing stocks, I continue to feel that technology will be the place to be as an investment opportunity for growth investors going forward.