Lombardi: Stock Market Commentary & Forecasts, Financial & Economic Analysis Since 1986

U.S. dollar

Another Solid Earnings Season Ahead for Existing Winners?

By | October 10, 2014

Solid Earnings SeasonOne large-cap that always reports early is Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST). The company’s numbers came in solid.

Costco hit a wall not too long ago and was hard pressed to produce growth. But the company’s latest quarter beat the Street with considerable sales strength in the month of September.

In its most recent quarter, there was considerable growth in the company’s cash position and shareholders’ equity improved significantly.

For the … Read More

The Biggest Risk This Coming Earnings Season

By | October 3, 2014

Biggest Risk This Coming Earnings SeasonFinancial reporting is ramping up and what corporations actually say about their businesses is the best market intelligence available to investors.

Acuity Brands, Inc. (AYI) is in the business of making lights for indoor and outdoor applications. Based in Atlanta, it’s highly likely you’re already using this company’s products without even knowing it.

The business of manufacturing lighting is not front-page news, but that doesn’t matter because for this company, … Read More

The Nine-Month Check-Up

By | October 1, 2014

Nine-Month Check-UpWith nine months behind us this year, today we look at how two popular forms of investment have done in 2014 and where I think they are headed for the remainder of the year.

Starting with stocks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed yesterday up 2.8% for the year. Given the risk of the stock market, 2.8% is no big gain. I wrote at the beginning of 2014 that the … Read More

Where the U.S. Dollar Is Headed and What It Means to You

By | September 29, 2014

U.S. Dollar Is HeadedFor the U.S. federal government’s fiscal year, which ends this Tuesday, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) predicts a budget deficit of $506 billion. (Source: Congressional Budget Office web site, September 26, 2014.)

But just because our annual deficit is declining, that doesn’t mean our national debt is rising by an equal amount.

In fact, between September 20, 2013 and September 20, 2014, the U.S. national debt increased by $1.0 trillion. … Read More

A Rational Look at Gold

By | September 24, 2014

Rational Look at GoldThe fundamentals that drive gold prices higher are in full force and improving. Central banks are buying more of the precious metal (to add to their reserves), while countries that are known to be big consumers of gold bullion post increased demand.

According to the India Bullion & Jewellers’ Association, India’s monthly gold bullion imports are expected to rise by as much as 50% in the coming few months—in the … Read More

Financial Reports

Should You Buy Into the U.S. Dollar Rally?

By | September 17, 2014

U.S. Dollar: The Best of the WorstSince May, when it was near an all-time low, the U.S. dollar has rallied. Compared to other major currencies of the world, the greenback is up five percent since July, as the chart below illustrates.

The question: should investors get into this U.S. dollar rally?

Dear reader, the U.S. dollar is not moving higher because the fundamentals of the U.S. economy are getting better. It’s moving higher because other parts … Read More

Why Aren’t Gold Prices Rising?

By | August 20, 2014

Guess Who Just Bought Gold for the 14th Consecutive QuarterThe numbers are in…

In the second quarter of 2014, world central banks bought 117.8 tonnes of gold bullion compared to 92.1 tonnes a year earlier—a jump of 28%. Central banks have been net purchasers of gold bullion for 14 consecutive quarters!

According to the World Gold Council, “Economic and geopolitical events throughout the world are sources of ongoing instability and uncertainty. Such events reinforce the requirement for appropriate risk … Read More

Two Reasons Why Interest Rates Will Rise

By | August 18, 2014

U.S. Dollar Under BRICS PressureThe U.S. dollar is still regarded as the reserve currency of the world. The majority of international transactions are settled in U.S. dollars and most central banks around the word hold it in their foreign exchange reserves.

But since the Credit Crisis of 2008, and the multi-trillion-dollar printing program by the Federal Reserve, the supremacy of the U.S. dollar as the “world’s currency” has been challenged.

The BRICS countries (Brazil, … Read More

The Era of Financial Insanity

By | July 30, 2014

What Happens Next for the Stock MarketMy colleague Robert Appel (BA, BBL, LLB) issued a research paper to the subscribers of one of his financial advisories earlier this week. I thought it important that all my readers be aware of and understand the crux of what Robert is saying about our current economic situation and where it will eventually lead.

Here it is:

“The actions of the Federal Reserve (how far they went to ‘stabilize’ the … Read More

The Sobering Issue

By | July 25, 2014

Why Our National Debt Will Double From HereAccording to the U.S. Congressional Budget Office, next year, the government is expected to incur a budget deficit of $469 billion and then another budget deficit of $536 billion in 2016. (Source: Congressional Budget Office web site, last accessed July 21, 2014.) From there, the budget deficit is expected to increase as far as the projections go.

Yes, the government’s own estimates are that our country will run a budget … Read More

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