U.S. home prices

U.S. Home Prices Could Fall This Year

By Friday, February 6, 2015
Home Prices RisingAsk any professional involved in the real estate market and they will tell you that when interest rates are low, it’s a great time to buy. Lower interest rates mean higher affordability because mortgage payments are smaller. In December of 2014, the 30-year mortgage rate tracked by Freddie Mac stood at 3.86%—the lowest since May of 2013. (Source: Freddie Mac, last accessed January 27, 2015.) With mortgage rates in the .

2012 U.S. Housing Market Price Forecast

By Friday, December 23, 2011
What will happen to the U.S. housing market in 2012? As we close out 2011, we will have experienced the fifth consecutive year that home prices in the U.S. have declined. According to the popular S&P/Case-Shiller Index,U.S. home prices are down 31% from their mid-2006 peak. Several reports have been circulated stating that the bottom for home prices is in or will be in sometime in 2012. And there are .

Two Major Dow Jones Segments Still Flashing Warning Signs Over U.S. Housing Market

By Thursday, December 15, 2011
Did you hear this one? Next week, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) will revise down its previously reported sales of U.S. homes from the period of January 2007 through to October 2011. The NAR said yesterday that it had made a mistake in past calculations on home sales and was double counting.

Economy: The Only Path to a
Meaningful, Lasting Recovery

By Thursday, July 21, 2011
Throwing taxpayer money at conjured schemes to revive the economy needs to stop, butWashingtondoes the exact opposite. They are spending their time on ideas that take money from peoples’ hard-earned taxes to help other people who made very bad decisions.

Just When We Thought Housing
Couldn’t Get Worse

By Thursday, March 24, 2011
The number of nails needed for the housing market’s coffin box has yet to be finalized. Consider just some of these startling numbers and trends: The median price of a resale home in the U.S. fell 5.2% in February 2011 to $156,100 (the lowest level since April 2002) from $164,600 in February 2010, according to the National Association of Realtors. Some other interesting facts reported from the association...

Dow Jones Gold Ratio: Making Money
from this All-Important Indicator

By Monday, January 31, 2011
If you are a stock market investor or a gold investor, or both, today’s PROFIT CONFIDENTIAL is a must-read. Why? Because, by the time you are finished reading this issue, you could very well be convinced long-term that the stock market is going down and gold is going up. And you can make a lot of money from these moves.

Big Opportunity for Investors in 2011 Will Come From…

By Friday, December 10, 2010
Almost one in four American homes is underwater—their mortgage is more than the value of the home. There have been several reports issued by various investment houses and research companies that predict that U.S. housing prices will fall next year again. Depending on which report you read, the forecasts vary from another five percent to 11% drop in the value of U.S. homes in 2011. According to an excellent report .

For All the Gold Bugs and Gold Investors Out There

By Thursday, November 4, 2010
Three important points on gold this morning: This is not the time to trade gold. As we move from the second phase to the third phase of the gold bull market, the metal is having $20.00 to $30.00 per ounce daily moves. These types of gyrations make trading the metal almost impossible. As I have been saying since 2002, take a position in the metal, buy more on big price dips, and just sit tight.

Opportunity Presenting Itself as Fear Grips the Market Again

By Wednesday, August 25, 2010
There is a bubble forming in today's economy and I believe that bubble is in U.S. Treasuries. Yesterday, the yield on 10-year Treasuries fell to 2.5% for the first time since 2009. Why the big rush to U.S. T-bills?

It Could Soon Be Time for a New Investment Property

By Thursday, August 28, 2008
The housing market continues to be in the doldrums and I continue to see this as a major risk for the economy and stocks. The reality is that the steady reduction in home wealth could cause a “poverty effect” to occur that makes homeowners feel they are less secure. This in effect would negatively impact consumer spending going forward. There is still no evidence of a near-term reversal in the .
Sep. 4, 2015
Trailing 12-month EPS for Dow Jones companies (Most Recent Quarter) $1014.15
Trailing 12-month Price/earnings multiple (Most Recent Quarter)


Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend Yield 2.62%
10-year U.S. Treasury Yield 2.19%

Immediate term outlook:
The bear market rally in stocks that started in March 2009, extended because of unprecedented central bank money printing, is coming to an end. Gold bullion is up $1,000 an ounce since we first recommended it in 2002 and we are still bullish on the physical metal.

Short-to-medium term outlook:
World economies are entering their slowest growth period since 2009. The Chinese economy grew last year at its slowest pace in 24 years. Japan is in recession. The eurozone is in depression. With almost half the S&P 500 companies deriving revenue outside the U.S., slower world economic growth will negatively impact revenue and earnings growth of American companies. Domestically, America’s gross domestic product grew by only a meager 2.3% in the second quarter, which will negatively impact an already overpriced equity market.


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From: Michael Lombardi, MBA
Subject: 200% Profit on the Ultimate "Fear Gauge" Play

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