unemployment rate

2015 Predictions: U.S. Dollar to Collapse?

By Thursday, March 26, 2015

U.S. Dollar Collapse 2015The value of the U.S. dollar is anchored in trust. As a fiat currency, the U.S. dollar isn’t linked to any physical reserves, like gold or silver; it’s just paper. For the U.S. dollar to be worth anything, it has to be backed by an economy people have faith in. Otherwise, the U.S. dollar would collapse… Read More.
Regardless of its intentions, the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing (QE) experiment has left

U.S. Economy to Enter Recession by 2016?

By Friday, March 13, 2015

US Economy recession 2016Don’t buy into the false optimism. While the mainstream media and economists are convinced there’s prosperity, I am concerned the U.S. economy will enter a recession in late 2015 or early 2016.
The simple fact is that consumer spending is the biggest factor driving the U.S. economy, and it is presently experiencing its own recession.
Retail Sales Declining, Store Inventory Increasing
Wholesale sales in the U.S. economy are plummeting, while… Read More

U.S. Dollar Strength the Real Threat to Investors, Not Higher Interest Rates

By Friday, March 13, 2015

US Dollar strengthThere are issues brewing in the stock market with interest rates fears and the strengthening greenback that could drive the S&P 500 lower by five percent or more.
When Will the Fed Increase Interest Rates?
First, we have the fears surrounding rising interest rates after the strong improvement in the unemployment rate to a pre-recession low of 5.5%. This is well below the target, previously set by former Federal Reserve… Read More

Economic Stalling in Eurozone Inevitable?

By Friday, November 7, 2014

Economic Stalling in Eurozone InevitableWhen Germany recently announced some underachieving economic numbers, it was a red flag for the eurozone and Europe. When the stronger of the two pillars in the eurozone (France being the other pillar) begins to show some fragility, you have to take a step back to evaluate the situation.
Now, it shouldn’t be a complete surprise to you that there are growth issues brewing in the eurozone, especially given the… Read More

How Markets Will Handle End of Money Printing Era

By Wednesday, November 5, 2014

Markets Will Handle End of Money Printing EraIt’s finally over…
The quantitative easing programs initially started by the Federal Reserve six years ago are (for now) history.
In its statement on October 29, the Federal Reserve said, “Accordingly, the Committee decided to conclude its asset purchase program this month.” (Source: “FOMC Statement,” Federal Reserve, October 29, 2014.)
The reason for ending the quantitative easing: “The Committee judges that there has been a substantial improvement in the outlook… Read More

Why Wal-Mart’s Sales Downgrade Should Worry Investors

By Friday, October 24, 2014

Why Wal-Mart's Sales DowngradeOn November 30, Switzerland’s citizens will cast a very critical vote.
Through a referendum, they will vote for or against the Swiss National Bank increasing its gold bullion reserves to 20%, the central bank halting the selling of gold, and the storing of gold bullion in the country. (Source: Kitco News, September 30, 2014.)
If the results are in favor of the referendum, it will mean Switzerland’s central bank will… Read More

What Job Growth? Labor Participation Hits 30-Year Low

By Thursday, October 9, 2014

Job GrowthFinally, some good news for the U.S. economy?
Last week, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported 248,000 jobs were created in the U.S. economy in September, pushing the unemployment rate down to 5.9% from 6.1% the previous month. (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, October 3, 2014.)
The September jobs market report showed good job creation in sectors like professional and business services, information, mining, construction, and financial. Combined, these… Read More

What Recovery?

By Wednesday, September 3, 2014

The Biggest Boom in the U.S. EconomyAccording to Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen, “More jobs have now been created in the recovery than were lost in the downturn… the unemployment rate, at 6.2% in July, has declined nearly 4 percentage points from its late 2009 peak.” (Source: “Labor Market Dynamics and Monetary Policy,” Federal Reserve, August 22, 2014.)
Great news, right? On the surface, yes. But when you look closer at the numbers, the jobs market paints… Read More

Taking It Too Far Again…

By Friday, July 11, 2014

Why Interest Rates Will Rise Faster and Sooner Than Most ThinkWhat led to the 2008/2009 stock market and real estate crash and subsequent Great Recession can be attributed to one factor: the sharp rise in interest rates that preceded that period.
In May of 2004, the federal funds rate, the bellwether rate upon which all interest rates in the U.S. are based, was one percent. The Federal Reserve, sensing the economy was getting overheated, started raising interest rates quickly. Three… Read More

The Six-Year Boom in Part-Time Work

By Friday, May 9, 2014

The Six-Year Boom in Part-Time WorkOne week ago today, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported 288,000 jobs were added to the U.S. jobs market in April. The unemployment rate fell to 6.3% from 6.7 % in March. (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 2, 2014.) Even the most optimistic of economists weren’t expecting a jobs creation number this big.
But it’s just the same old story…
When you look closer at the details of the… Read More

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