U.S. Economy

The U.S. is the world’s largest national economy. In 2013, the U.S. reported gross domestic product (GDP) of $16.8 trillion, or 22.4% of global GDP. China was a distant second at $9.2 trillion. Japan’s economy was the third largest in 2013 at $4.9 trillion, with Germany ($3.6 trillion) and France ($2.7 trillion) rounding out the top five.

The U.S. is also the second largest economy by region. In 2013, U.S GDP of $16.80 trillion was just slightly behind the entire European Union at $17.35 trillion.

As the world’s biggest national economy the U.S. is also its economic engine. That’s because the U.S. is the largest consumer market in the world. In 2013, consumer spending accounted for 71% of the U.S. economy.

As goes the U.S., so goes the global economy. Since the stock market crashed in 2008, U.S. economic growth has been weak. In 2008, the U.S. reported negative GDP of -0.03%; in 2009, it slipped further to -2.8%. Since then, the U.S. economy has experienced uneven growth. Most recently, in 2013, the U.S. reported GDP growth of 1.9%.

Going forward, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has cut its outlook for global economic growth, saying there are limits to the United States’ ability to shoulder the world’s economy on its own. Before the financial crisis, the U.S. routinely advanced at around 3.0% annually. For 2014, the IMF expects GDP to grow 2.2% and in 2015 it expects the U.S. economy to advance 3.1%.

Japan Slides Into Recession Again; U.S. Next?

By Friday, November 21, 2014

Japan Slides Into Recession Again; U.S. NextIn the third quarter of 2014, the Japanese economy, the third biggest in the world, fell back into a recession. The country’s gross domestic product (GDP), quarter-over-quarter, declined 0.4% in the third quarter after it declined 1.9% in the second quarter of 2014. The annual GDP growth rate for the Japanese economy now stands at … Read More

Money Supply Strongly Suggests Higher Inflation Ahead

By Friday, November 7, 2014

Money Supply Strongly Suggests Higher Inflation AheadAsk even an amateur economist, and they will tell you this: an increasing money supply eventually leads to inflation. It’s a simple concept; the more paper money there is in the system, the less it’s worth and the less it buys.

And this is exactly what is happening in the U.S. economy. The money supply is growing at a fast rate when com… Read More

Dow Jones Transportation Stocks Suggesting Bullish Fourth Quarter?

By Friday, November 7, 2014

Where Are Stocks HeadedIn terms of stock market direction, the Dow Jones Transportation Average recently pushed through to another new record-high. The index retrenched along with the broader market in early October, but it fought back hard to just over 8,800.

Within the index, countless stocks have been doing well. Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) slumped t… Read More

How Markets Will Handle End of Money Printing Era

By Wednesday, November 5, 2014

Markets Will Handle End of Money Printing EraIt’s finally over…

The quantitative easing programs initially started by the Federal Reserve six years ago are (for now) history.

In its statement on October 29, the Federal Reserve said, “Accordingly, the Committee decided to conclude its asset purchase program this month.” (Source: “FOMC Statement,” Federal Res… Read More

Why the Housing Market Points to Very Weak 2015 Economy

By Monday, November 3, 2014

Housing Market Points to Very Weak 2015 EconomyThe chart below shows us that between April and August of this year, home prices in the U.S. declined. The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index is only released 60 days after each month’s end, so while data for September and October are not yet available, based on what I’m about to tell you, five years after the Great Recession, the … Read More